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Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Michael Mayer TE

LV vs BUF ·

27.5 Rec Yds O -116U -108
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 20%2/10 Odds imply 50.8% Over
Season avg
34.2
Graph avg
15.1
Graph median
12.00–38
Over the close
22%2/9
2026 per game
Targets5.0â–²+1.2
Rec4.2â–²+1.5
Rec Yds34.2â–²+9.0
Rec TD0.2â–²+0.1
Snaps56.4â–²+20.6
Snap %81.0%â–²+19.2
Michael Mayer receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 27.5.
27.5
  1. 2024
    14
  2. 2025
    38
  3. 0
  4. 10
  5. 22
  6. 0
  7. 10
  8. 2026
    23
  9. 32
  10. 2
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 27.5

  • Home 36% 5/14 · avg 29.4
  • Away 20% 3/15 · avg 16.2
  • vs BUF No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 17.5 40% 4/10
  • O 22.5 30% 3/10
  • O 27.5 Today 20% 2/10
  • O 32.5 10% 1/10
  • O 37.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs BUF

What BUF allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds38.0#28
  • Receptions4.1#30
  • Targets6.7#23
  • Yds/Target5.7#29
  • Rec TD0.3#21

TEs vs BUF · 2026

Each main TE who faced BUF this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-6.9
Avg diff %-27%
Beat their average20% (1/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 12 Tyler Higbee8347.0+77%
Oct 04 Eli Raridon1229.7-60%
Sep 27 Oronde Gadsden II021.5-100%
Sep 17 Sam LaPorta5266.0-21%
Sep 13 Dalton Schultz3552.2-33%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LV offense

LV offense: Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%14.5 yds3%5.3 yds5%7.0 yds
Short30%5.6 yds19%7.0 yds35%5.8 yds

Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

BUF defense

BUF defense: Throws BUF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%11.5 yds#144%8.1 yds#329%9.2 yds#25
Short30%5.5 yds#2216%6.5 yds#2035%5.4 yds#16

Throws BUF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep2%21.0 yds0% 6%7.7 yds
Short19%3.3 yds29%9.9 yds44%6.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · LV 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of LV targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Brock Bowers TE311.33431.3%
2Ashton Jeanty RB56.03017.6%
3Tre Tucker WR55.62816.4%
4Michael Mayer TE55.02514.3%
5Jalen Nailor WR33.71112.5%
6Jack Bech WR23.0610.3%
7Cody White WR52.8148.0%
8Malik Benson WR51.685.0%
9Ian Thomas TE31.343.5%
10Deven Thompkins WR11.012.8%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 27.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-115@ NE2Under28.539 (65%)
2026-09-273@ NO32Over21.561 (87%)
2026-09-202@ LAC23Under44.553 (84%)
2025-12-2116@ HOU10Under10.536 (67%)
2025-12-1415@ PHI0Under15.58 (19%)
2025-11-0610@ DEN22Under22.537 (62%)
2025-10-197@ KC10Under15.533 (94%)
2025-09-213@ WAS0Under10.55 (8%)
2025-09-071@ NE38Over4.540 (63%)
2024-12-2917@ NO14Under—58 (75%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 27.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 10m ago.