Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players
Jalen Nailor WR
LV vs BUF ·
23.5 Rec Yds
O -114U -110
- Season avg
- 17.3
- Graph avg
- 43.2
- Graph median
- 34.00–124
- Over the close
- 44%4/9
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2024
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 23.5
- Home 69% 11/16 · avg 38.9
- Away 30% 6/20 · avg 16.0
- vs BUF No games
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 13.5 90% 9/10
- O 18.5 80% 8/10
- O 23.5 Today 80% 8/10
- O 28.5 70% 7/10
- O 33.5 50% 5/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · WRs vs BUF
What BUF allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rec Yds149.1#12
- Receptions12.6#6
- Targets20.0#7
- Yds/Target7.5#25
- Rec TD1.3#4
WRs vs BUF · 2026
Each main WR who faced BUF this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 |
Puka Nacua | 138 | 99.5 | +39% |
| Oct 12 |
Davante Adams | 51 | 97.5 | -48% |
| Oct 04 |
Mack Hollins | 53 | 52.0 | +2% |
| Oct 04 |
Romeo Doubs | 58 | 40.2 | +44% |
| Sep 27 |
Ladd McConkey | 66 | 39.0 | +69% |
| Sep 27 |
Tre Harris | 76 | 37.2 | +104% |
| Sep 17 |
Jameson Williams | 33 | 60.8 | -46% |
| Sep 17 |
Amon-Ra St. Brown | 142 | 57.5 | +147% |
| Sep 13 |
Nico Collins | 75 | 87.0 | -14% |
| Sep 13 |
Xavier Hutchinson | 32 | 49.8 | -36% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
LV offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%14.5 yds | 3%5.3 yds | 5%7.0 yds |
| Short | 30%5.6 yds | 19%7.0 yds | 35%5.8 yds |
Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
BUF defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%11.5 yds#14 | 4%8.1 yds#32 | 9%9.2 yds#25 |
| Short | 30%5.5 yds#22 | 16%6.5 yds#20 | 35%5.4 yds#16 |
Throws BUF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 4%20.0 yds | 11%0.0 yds | 22%8.2 yds |
| Short | 15%5.0 yds | 15%11.0 yds | 33%5.0 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · LV 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of LV targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Bowers TE | 3 | 11.3 | 34 | 31.3% |
| 2 | Ashton Jeanty RB | 5 | 6.0 | 30 | 17.6% |
| 3 | Tre Tucker WR | 5 | 5.6 | 28 | 16.4% |
| 4 | Michael Mayer TE | 5 | 5.0 | 25 | 14.3% |
| 5 | Jalen Nailor WR | 3 | 3.7 | 11 | 12.5% |
| 6 | Jack Bech WR | 2 | 3.0 | 6 | 10.3% |
| 7 | Cody White WR | 5 | 2.8 | 14 | 8.0% |
| 8 | Malik Benson WR | 5 | 1.6 | 8 | 5.0% |
| 9 | Ian Thomas TE | 3 | 1.3 | 4 | 3.5% |
| 10 | Deven Thompkins WR | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 2.8% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Rec Yds | vs 23.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | vs MIA | 27 | Over | 37.5 | 41 (60%) |
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs GB | 49 | Over | 49.5 | 50 (75%) |
| 2025-12-25 | 17 | vs DET | 0 | Under | 18.5 | 23 (43%) |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs WAS | 30 | Over | 30.5 | 37 (58%) |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | vs CHI | 16 | Under | 0.5 | 33 (60%) |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs BAL | 124 | Over | 80.5 | 44 (68%) |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs PHI | 37 | Over | 15.5 | 41 (59%) |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs CIN | 37 | Over | 33.5 | 50 (83%) |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs ATL | 31 | Over | 35.5 | 47 (100%) |
| 2024-12-29 | 17 | vs GB | 81 | Over | — | 38 (53%) |
Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 22.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 8m ago.
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