NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Tyler Shough QB

NO vs NYG · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

22.5 Completions O -119U -107

Hit rate · Last 10 70%7/10 Odds imply 51.2% Over

Season avg: 27.4
Graph avg: 25.1
Graph median: 25.513–35
Over the close: 70%7/10

2026 per game

Pass Yds259.8▲+43.1

Att41.0▲+11.3

Cmp%66.8%▼-0.8

Pass TD1.8▲+0.9

INT1.0▲+0.5

Rush Yds14.4▼-2.5

Snaps70.2▲+15.2

Snap %100.0%▲+16.5

22.5

2025

13

Dec 07
24

Dec 14
32

Dec 21
22

Dec 28
23

Jan 04
2026

35

Sep 13
27

Sep 20
29

Sep 27
30

Oct 05
16

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 22.5

Home 71% 5/7 · avg 25.4
Away 44% 4/9 · avg 20.0
vs NYG No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 20.5 80% 8/10
O 21.5 80% 8/10
O 22.5 Today 70% 7/10
O 23.5 60% 6/10
O 24.5 50% 5/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs NYG

What NYG allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds203.6#28
Yds/Att7.1#17
Cmp%66.3%#7
Pass TD1.3#21
Pass Att28.8#29

QBs vs NYG · 2026

Each main QB who faced NYG this season: completions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-2.4

Avg diff %-5%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Jayden Daniels	17	14.5	+17%
Oct 04	Jacoby Brissett	21	27.8	-24%
Sep 27	Cam Ward	23	18.8	+23%
Sep 21	Matthew Stafford	22	29.2	-25%
Sep 13	Dak Prescott	22	26.8	-18%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NO offense

NO offense: Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%7.6 yds	3%18.2 yds	7%13.7 yds
Short	32%5.7 yds	15%8.7 yds	33%5.5 yds

Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYG defense

NYG defense: Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%7.6 yds#27	2%21.6 yds#4	8%8.9 yds#26
Short	30%5.9 yds#15	15%8.2 yds#9	36%6.0 yds#9

Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%7.6 yds	3%16.2 yds	7%13.7 yds
Short	32%5.7 yds	15%8.7 yds	33%5.5 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of NO targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Chris Olave WR	5	10.8	54	27.9%
2	Devaughn Vele WR	5	7.4	37	19.7%
3	Juwan Johnson TE	5	6.4	32	16.8%
4	Alvin Kamara RB	4	4.0	16	11.1%
5	Travis Etienne RB	3	4.3	13	9.5%
6	Bryce Lance WR	5	3.2	16	8.3%
7	Noah Fant TE	4	3.2	13	7.4%
8	Kendre Miller RB	4	1.5	6	3.5%
9	Kevin Austin Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	3.1%
10	CJ Donaldson RB	5	1.0	5	2.5%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Completions	vs 22.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs MIN	16	Under	22.5	45 (100%)
2026-10-05	4	vs ATL	30	Over	23.5	74 (100%)
2026-09-27	3	vs LV	29	Over	22.5	74 (100%)
2026-09-20	2	@ BAL	27	Over	21.5	68 (100%)
2026-09-13	1	@ DET	35	Over	21.5	90 (100%)
2026-01-04	18	@ ATL	23	Over	25.5	68 (100%)
2025-12-28	17	@ TEN	22	Under	21.5	53 (98%)
2025-12-21	16	vs NYJ	32	Over	29.5	76 (97%)
2025-12-14	15	vs CAR	24	Over	20.5	68 (99%)
2025-12-07	14	@ TB	13	Under	20.5	58 (100%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 22.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 12m ago.