NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Jordan Love QB

GB vs DAL · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

21.5 Completions O -116U -110

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 40%4/10 Odds imply 50.6% Over

Season avg: 22.4
Graph avg: 19.4
Graph median: 20.08–29
Over the close: 60%3/5

2026 per game

Pass Yds281.6▲+50.1

Att37.0▲+6.7

Cmp%60.5%▼-4.4

Pass TD2.0▲+0.3

INT0.6▲+0.2

Rush Yds-0.4▼-13.5

Snaps62.4▲+2.1

Snap %99.4%▲+4.8

21.5

2025

19

Oct 19
29

Oct 26
13

Nov 16
18

Nov 27
24

Dec 14
8

Dec 20
24

Jan 10
2026

21

Sep 13
16

Sep 20
22

Oct 04
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 21.5

Home 41% 7/17 · avg 20.1
Away 25% 5/20 · avg 18.6
vs DAL 100% 1/1 · avg 31.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 19.5 50% 5/10
O 20.5 50% 5/10
O 21.5 Today 40% 4/10
O 22.5 30% 3/10
O 23.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs DAL

What DAL allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds244.6#10
Yds/Att8.7#1
Cmp%71.4%#2
Pass TD1.7#11
Pass Att28.0#31

QBs vs DAL · 2026

Each main QB who faced DAL this season: completions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.8

Avg diff %+8%

Beat their average25% (1/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 08	Jalon Daniels	19	9.5	+100%
Oct 04	C.J. Stroud	21	24.5	-14%
Sep 27	Lamar Jackson	15	17.7	-15%
Sep 20	Jayden Daniels	11	17.5	-37%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

GB offense

GB offense: Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%12.4 yds	5%19.9 yds	10%15.4 yds
Short	27%5.8 yds	16%6.1 yds	35%4.8 yds

Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

DAL defense

DAL defense: Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.5 yds#9	2%24.3 yds#1	9%10.6 yds#19
Short	27%7.4 yds#2	16%10.1 yds#1	37%6.7 yds#3

Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.2 yds	6%19.2 yds	11%13.7 yds
Short	27%5.8 yds	16%6.6 yds	32%4.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of GB targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Matthew Golden WR	5	8.8	44	24.0%
2	Christian Watson WR	5	8.0	40	22.7%
3	Tucker Kraft TE	5	5.8	29	16.1%
4	Pierre Strong RB	1	4.0	4	12.9%
5	Jayden Reed WR	2	4.0	8	10.5%
6	MarShawn Lloyd RB	5	2.6	13	7.7%
7	Skyy Moore WR	5	2.8	14	7.3%
8	Mark Redman TE	1	2.0	2	6.7%
9	Jonnu Smith TE	3	2.3	7	5.6%
10	Bo Melton WR	5	1.6	8	4.8%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Completions	vs 21.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ TB	22	Over	21.5	60 (100%)
2026-09-20	2	@ NYJ	16	Under	20.5	59 (100%)
2026-09-13	1	@ MIN	21	Under	20.5	68 (100%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	@ CHI	24	Over	15.5	71 (100%)
2025-12-20	16	@ CHI	8	Under	19.5	26 (36%)
2025-12-14	15	@ DEN	24	Over	—	66 (100%)
2025-11-27	13	@ DET	18	Under	—	63 (100%)
2025-11-16	11	@ NYG	13	Under	—	48 (87%)
2025-10-26	8	@ PIT	29	Over	—	64 (100%)
2025-10-19	7	@ ARI	19	Under	—	56 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 21.5Underdog 21.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 10m ago.