NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Tanner McKee QB

PHI vs CAR · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

200.5 Pass Yds O -115U -115

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs CAR — Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: —

2026 per game

Pass Yds—

Att—

Cmp%—

Pass TD—

INT—

Rush Yds—

Snaps—

Snap %—

No games vs CAR in this range.

Splits all logged games · over 200.5

Home 40% 2/5 · avg 119.4
Away 0% 0/1 · avg 0.0
vs CAR No games

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs CAR

What CAR allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds228.4#17
Yds/Att7.1#15
Cmp%64.0%#15
Pass TD1.4#19
Pass Att32.2#15

QBs vs CAR · 2026

Each main QB who faced CAR this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+35.6

Avg diff %+10%

Beat their average50% (1/2)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Jared Goff	412	268.2	+54%
Sep 27	Deshaun Watson	144	216.5	-33%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

PHI offense

PHI offense: Share of PHI pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%6.4 yds	2%14.2 yds	10%12.5 yds
Short	30%5.7 yds	16%6.4 yds	36%4.0 yds

Share of PHI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

CAR defense

CAR defense: Throws CAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%14.1 yds#6	5%12.2 yds#25	6%10.2 yds#20
Short	28%4.9 yds#29	24%8.5 yds#7	31%5.3 yds#19

Throws CAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

Each pass-catcher’s share of PHI targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	DeVonta Smith WR	3	9.0	27	32.5%
2	Dontayvion Wicks WR	5	5.6	28	19.5%
3	Dallas Goedert TE	3	5.3	16	17.6%
4	Makai Lemon WR	5	4.4	22	16.0%
5	Dameon Pierce RB	1	5.0	5	13.5%
6	Zach Ertz TE	3	2.7	8	9.8%
7	Darius Cooper WR	5	2.6	13	9.0%
8	Saquon Barkley RB	4	1.8	7	6.7%
9	Will Shipley RB	5	1.6	8	5.6%
10	Johnny Mundt TE	4	1.2	5	3.9%

Game log · 0 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass Yds	vs 200.5	Close	Snaps

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 198.5Underdog 199.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 12m ago.