NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Jordan Love QB

GB vs DAL · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

269.5 Pass Yds O -113U -111

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 40%4/10 Odds imply 50.2% Over

Season avg: 281.6
Graph avg: 235.2
Graph median: 215.577–387
Over the close: 40%2/5

2026 per game

Pass Yds281.6▲+50.1

Att37.0▲+6.7

Cmp%60.5%▼-4.4

Pass TD2.0▲+0.3

INT0.6▲+0.2

Rush Yds-0.4▼-13.5

Snaps62.4▲+2.1

Snap %99.4%▲+4.8

269.5

2025

179

Oct 19
360

Oct 26
174

Nov 16
234

Nov 27
276

Dec 14
77

Dec 20
323

Jan 10
2026

387

Sep 13
145

Sep 20
197

Oct 04
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 269.5

Home 41% 7/17 · avg 239.3
Away 25% 5/20 · avg 232.2
vs DAL 100% 1/1 · avg 337.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 249.5 40% 4/10
O 259.5 40% 4/10
O 269.5 Today 40% 4/10
O 279.5 30% 3/10
O 289.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs DAL

What DAL allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds244.6#10
Yds/Att8.7#1
Cmp%71.4%#2
Pass TD1.7#11
Pass Att28.0#31

QBs vs DAL · 2026

Each main QB who faced DAL this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+9.6

Avg diff %+28%

Beat their average50% (2/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 08	Jalon Daniels	189	74.0	+155%
Oct 04	C.J. Stroud	347	263.8	+32%
Sep 27	Lamar Jackson	186	260.3	-29%
Sep 20	Jayden Daniels	96	181.5	-47%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

GB offense

GB offense: Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%12.4 yds	5%19.9 yds	10%15.4 yds
Short	27%5.8 yds	16%6.1 yds	35%4.8 yds

Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

DAL defense

DAL defense: Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.5 yds#9	2%24.3 yds#1	9%10.6 yds#19
Short	27%7.4 yds#2	16%10.1 yds#1	37%6.7 yds#3

Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.2 yds	6%19.2 yds	11%13.7 yds
Short	27%5.8 yds	16%6.6 yds	32%4.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of GB targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Matthew Golden WR	5	8.8	44	24.0%
2	Christian Watson WR	5	8.0	40	22.7%
3	Tucker Kraft TE	5	5.8	29	16.1%
4	Pierre Strong RB	1	4.0	4	12.9%
5	Jayden Reed WR	2	4.0	8	10.5%
6	MarShawn Lloyd RB	5	2.6	13	7.7%
7	Skyy Moore WR	5	2.8	14	7.3%
8	Mark Redman TE	1	2.0	2	6.7%
9	Jonnu Smith TE	3	2.3	7	5.6%
10	Bo Melton WR	5	1.6	8	4.8%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass Yds	vs 269.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ TB	197	Under	238.5	60 (100%)
2026-09-20	2	@ NYJ	145	Under	254.5	59 (100%)
2026-09-13	1	@ MIN	387	Over	237.5	68 (100%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	@ CHI	323	Over	231.5	71 (100%)
2025-12-20	16	@ CHI	77	Under	231.5	26 (36%)
2025-12-14	15	@ DEN	276	Over	—	66 (100%)
2025-11-27	13	@ DET	234	Under	—	63 (100%)
2025-11-16	11	@ NYG	174	Under	—	48 (87%)
2025-10-26	8	@ PIT	360	Over	—	64 (100%)
2025-10-19	7	@ ARI	179	Under	—	56 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 274.5Underdog 274.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.