NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Deshaun Watson QB

CLE vs BAL ·

205.5 Pass Yds O -113U -111
Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 20%1/5 Odds imply 50.2% Over
Season avg
202.0
Graph avg
181.0
Graph median
169.0128–268
Over the close
50%1/2
2026 per game
Pass Yds202.0
Att29.6
Cmp%64.2%
Pass TD1.4
INT0.4
Rush Yds33.4
Snaps62.0
Snap %99.8%
Deshaun Watson passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 205.5.
205.5
  1. 2024
    169
  2. 196
  3. 128
  4. 2026
    144
  5. 268
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 205.5

  • Home 20% 1/5 · avg 181.0
  • Away 14% 1/7 · avg 179.0
  • vs BAL No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 185.5 40% 2/5
  • O 195.5 40% 2/5
  • O 205.5 Today 20% 1/5
  • O 215.5 20% 1/5
  • O 225.5 20% 1/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs BAL

What BAL allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds266.9#2
  • Yds/Att7.4#11
  • Cmp%66.9%#5
  • Pass TD1.0#29
  • Pass Att36.0#3

QBs vs BAL · 2026

Each main QB who faced BAL this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.8
Avg diff %+1%
Beat their average40% (2/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 11 Michael Penix Jr.240239.5+0%
Oct 04 Cam Ward222168.5+32%
Sep 27 Dak Prescott276276.2+0%
Sep 20 Tyler Shough252261.8-4%
Sep 13 Daniel Jones166213.8-22%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CLE offense

CLE offense: Share of CLE pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep5%10.9 yds6%13.1 yds5%10.6 yds
Short34%5.3 yds18%7.6 yds32%5.2 yds

Share of CLE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

BAL defense

BAL defense: Throws BAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%16.0 yds#35%14.3 yds#197%17.7 yds#3
Short31%5.8 yds#1616%5.8 yds#2735%5.2 yds#21

Throws BAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 5 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%12.2 yds5%7.9 yds5%15.3 yds
Short44%5.8 yds13%7.9 yds27%5.1 yds

Last 5 games · Yds/att

Target share · CLE 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of CLE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1KC Concepcion WR55.82920.0%
2Denzel Boston WR55.82919.6%
3Harold Fannin Jr. TE55.42718.3%
4Quinshon Judkins RB54.02013.2%
5Jerry Jeudy WR43.81513.1%
6Isaiah Bond WR33.099.4%
7Raheim Sanders RB52.4128.6%
8Blake Whiteheart TE31.033.7%
9Jaleel McLaughlin RB30.722.2%
10Michael Burton FB20.511.7%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 205.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-014vs PIT268Over186.564 (100%)
2026-09-273vs CAR144Under187.569 (99%)
2024-10-207vs CIN128Under—33 (39%)
2024-09-223vs NYG196Under—65 (97%)
2024-09-081vs DAL169Under—76 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 200.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 9m ago.