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Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Deshaun Watson QB

CLE vs BAL ·

205.5 Pass Yds O -113U -111
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 14%1/7 Odds imply 50.2% Over
Season avg
202.0
Graph avg
179.0
Graph median
176.0125–238
Over the close
67%2/3
2026 per game
Pass Yds202.0
Att29.6
Cmp%64.2%
Pass TD1.4
INT0.4
Rush Yds33.4
Snaps62.0
Snap %99.8%
Deshaun Watson passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 205.5.
205.5
  1. 2024
    186
  2. 176
  3. 125
  4. 168
  5. 2026
    205
  6. 238
  7. 155
  8. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 205.5

  • Home 20% 1/5 · avg 181.0
  • Away 14% 1/7 · avg 179.0
  • vs BAL No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 185.5 43% 3/7
  • O 195.5 29% 2/7
  • O 205.5 Today 14% 1/7
  • O 215.5 14% 1/7
  • O 225.5 14% 1/7

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs BAL

What BAL allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds266.9#2
  • Yds/Att7.4#11
  • Cmp%66.9%#5
  • Pass TD1.0#29
  • Pass Att36.0#3

QBs vs BAL · 2026

Each main QB who faced BAL this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.8
Avg diff %+1%
Beat their average40% (2/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 11 Michael Penix Jr.240239.5+0%
Oct 04 Cam Ward222168.5+32%
Sep 27 Dak Prescott276276.2+0%
Sep 20 Tyler Shough252261.8-4%
Sep 13 Daniel Jones166213.8-22%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CLE offense

CLE offense: Share of CLE pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep5%10.9 yds6%13.1 yds5%10.6 yds
Short34%5.3 yds18%7.6 yds32%5.2 yds

Share of CLE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

BAL defense

BAL defense: Throws BAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%16.0 yds#35%14.3 yds#197%17.7 yds#3
Short31%5.8 yds#1616%5.8 yds#2735%5.2 yds#21

Throws BAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 5 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%12.2 yds5%7.9 yds5%15.3 yds
Short44%5.8 yds13%7.9 yds27%5.1 yds

Last 5 games · Yds/att

Target share · CLE 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of CLE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1KC Concepcion WR55.82920.0%
2Denzel Boston WR55.82919.6%
3Harold Fannin Jr. TE55.42718.3%
4Quinshon Judkins RB54.02013.2%
5Jerry Jeudy WR43.81513.1%
6Isaiah Bond WR33.099.4%
7Raheim Sanders RB52.4128.6%
8Blake Whiteheart TE31.033.7%
9Jaleel McLaughlin RB30.722.2%
10Michael Burton FB20.511.7%

Game log · 7 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 205.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-115@ NYJ155Under190.568 (100%)
2026-09-202@ TB238Over175.558 (100%)
2026-09-131@ JAX205Under178.551 (100%)
2024-10-136@ PHI168Under—56 (98%)
2024-10-065@ WAS125Under—57 (92%)
2024-09-294@ LV176Under—59 (100%)
2024-09-152@ JAX186Under—69 (96%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 200.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 10m ago.