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Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Patrick Mahomes QB

KC vs LAC ·

1.5 Pass TDs O -105U -121
Hit rate · Last 10 · vs LAC 0%0/4 Odds imply 48.3% Over
Season avg
2.2
Graph avg
0.8
Graph median
1.00–1
Over the close
0%0/2
2026 per game
Pass Yds259.2â–²+3.0
Att32.0â–¼-3.9
Cmp%64.1%â–²+1.3
Pass TD2.2â–²+0.7
INT0.5â–¼-0.3
Rush Yds10.2â–¼-19.9
Snaps65.2â–¼-1.5
Snap %100.0%â–²+2.6
Over 1.5 in 4 straight
Patrick Mahomes passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
1.5
  1. 2024
    1
  2. 1
  3. 2025
    1
  4. 0
  5. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 40% 8/20 · avg 1.6
  • Away 59% 10/17 · avg 1.8
  • vs LAC 0% 0/4 · avg 0.8

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 75% 3/4
  • O 1.5 Today 0% 0/4
  • O 2.5 0% 0/4
  • O 3.5 0% 0/4

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs LAC

What LAC allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds214.4#23
  • Yds/Att7.5#8
  • Cmp%62.9%#20
  • Pass TD1.2#24
  • Pass Att28.6#30

QBs vs LAC · 2026

Each main QB who faced LAC this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.2
Avg diff %-11%
Beat their average40% (2/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 11 Bo Nix11.0+0%
Oct 04 Sam Darnold21.2+60%
Sep 27 Josh Allen01.8-100%
Sep 20 Kirk Cousins32.2+33%
Sep 13 Jacoby Brissett12.0-50%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

KC offense

KC offense: Share of KC pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep5%13.9 yds5%10.5 yds8%12.4 yds
Short28%5.9 yds17%4.9 yds38%5.3 yds

Share of KC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LAC defense

LAC defense: Throws LAC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%16.8 yds#13%12.0 yds#264%12.9 yds#9
Short33%6.1 yds#1017%6.6 yds#1934%5.8 yds#13

Throws LAC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%14.2 yds6%13.7 yds10%10.1 yds
Short26%6.1 yds17%5.5 yds36%6.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · KC 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of KC targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Rashee Rice WR35.71720.4%
2Xavier Worthy WR45.52218.7%
3Travis Kelce TE45.52217.3%
4Kenneth Walker III RB44.81914.9%
5Tyquan Thornton WR43.81512.9%
6Noah Gray TE42.087.6%
7Emmett Johnson RB41.254.1%
8Jalen Royals WR41.254.1%
9Cyrus Allen WR21.023.9%
10Jake Briningstool TE30.722.8%

Game log · 4 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 1.5CloseSnaps
2025-12-1415vs LAC0Under0.556 (92%)
2025-09-051@ LAC1Under1.561 (100%)
2024-12-0814vs LAC1Under—69 (100%)
2024-09-294@ LAC1Under—62 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 1.5Underdog 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 10m ago.