NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Jalon Daniels QB

TB vs PIT · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

0.5 Pass TDs O -227U +175

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs PIT — Odds imply 65.6% Over

Season avg: 0.7
Graph avg: —

2026 per game

Pass Yds112.3

Att18.3

Cmp%69.1%

Pass TD0.7

INT1.0

Rush Yds29.0

Snaps46.3

Snap %68.7%

No games vs PIT in this range.

Splits all logged games · over 0.5

Home 50% 1/2 · avg 0.5
Away 100% 1/1 · avg 1.0
vs PIT No games

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs PIT

What PIT allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds245.9#9
Yds/Att7.9#5
Cmp%66.1%#9
Pass TD1.5#14
Pass Att31.3#23

QBs vs PIT · 2026

Each main QB who faced PIT this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.6

Avg diff %-46%

Beat their average25% (1/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Daniel Jones	0	0.8	-100%
Oct 01	Deshaun Watson	1	1.5	-33%
Sep 27	Joe Burrow	3	2.0	+50%
Sep 20	Drake Maye	0	2.0	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

TB offense

TB offense: Share of TB pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%8.6 yds	4%15.1 yds	8%9.4 yds
Short	31%5.5 yds	15%7.0 yds	34%5.6 yds

Share of TB pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PIT defense

PIT defense: Throws PIT faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%16.4 yds#2	4%11.9 yds#28	5%19.2 yds#1
Short	35%6.0 yds#14	20%6.3 yds#21	26%5.7 yds#15

Throws PIT faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 3 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%7.0 yds	0%	7%21.2 yds
Short	29%4.4 yds	13%4.0 yds	46%5.3 yds

Last 3 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of TB targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Emeka Egbuka WR	5	6.6	33	22.9%
2	Cade Otton TE	5	5.4	27	18.6%
3	Chris Godwin Jr. WR	5	4.2	21	14.9%
4	Ted Hurst III WR	4	4.0	16	13.1%
5	Bucky Irving RB	5	3.6	18	12.3%
6	Kenny Gainwell RB	5	3.2	16	10.8%
7	Tez Johnson WR	5	2.0	10	6.6%
8	Payne Durham TE	2	1.0	2	3.4%
9	Jalen McMillan WR	1	1.0	1	2.9%
10	Kameron Johnson WR	5	0.4	2	1.5%

Game log · 0 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass TDs	vs 0.5	Close	Snaps

Pick’em lines: Underdog 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.