Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players
Michael Penix QB
ATL vs BAL ·
221.5 Pass Yds
O -111U -113
- Season avg
- 239.5
- Graph avg
- 216.3
- Graph median
- 222.0135–313
- Over the close
- 40%4/10
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 221.5
- Home 57% 4/7 · avg 223.4
- Away 44% 4/9 · avg 185.8
- vs BAL No games
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 201.5 60% 6/10
- O 211.5 60% 6/10
- O 221.5 Today 50% 5/10
- O 231.5 40% 4/10
- O 241.5 30% 3/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · QBs vs BAL
What BAL allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Pass Yds265.6#3
- Yds/Att7.2#14
- Cmp%65.8%#12
- Pass TD1.1#27
- Pass Att37.1#2
QBs vs BAL · 2026
Each main QB who faced BAL this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 |
Cam Ward | 222 | 168.0 | +32% |
| Sep 27 |
Dak Prescott | 276 | 276.2 | +0% |
| Sep 20 |
Tyler Shough | 252 | 317.0 | -21% |
| Sep 13 |
Daniel Jones | 166 | 196.0 | -15% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
ATL offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 6%9.6 yds | 3%11.8 yds | 9%9.8 yds |
| Short | 36%6.7 yds | 18%6.4 yds | 28%5.9 yds |
Share of ATL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
BAL defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 5%15.8 yds#2 | 5%16.8 yds#11 | 7%15.6 yds#3 |
| Short | 31%5.3 yds#23 | 17%5.7 yds#27 | 35%5.3 yds#21 |
Throws BAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His throws
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 10%16.6 yds | 3%15.5 yds | 9%7.0 yds |
| Short | 38%6.0 yds | 10%7.0 yds | 31%6.8 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/att
Target share · ATL 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of ATL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake London WR | 4 | 6.2 | 25 | 27.7% |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson RB | 4 | 4.5 | 18 | 21.1% |
| 3 | Jahan Dotson WR | 4 | 3.2 | 13 | 14.2% |
| 4 | Kyle Pitts TE | 4 | 2.2 | 9 | 9.7% |
| 5 | Austin Hooper TE | 3 | 2.3 | 7 | 8.9% |
| 6 | Olamide Zaccheaus WR | 4 | 1.8 | 7 | 7.2% |
| 7 | Zachariah Branch WR | 4 | 1.5 | 6 | 6.3% |
| 8 | Charlie Woerner TE | 2 | 1.0 | 2 | 4.1% |
| 9 | Brian Robinson RB | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 2.9% |
| 10 | Chris Blair WR | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 2.4% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Pass Yds | vs 221.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 4 | @ NO | 223 | Over | 223.5 | 57 (100%) |
| 2026-09-24 | 3 | @ GB | 256 | Over | 203.5 | 71 (100%) |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | vs CAR | 175 | Under | 240.5 | 41 (62%) |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | @ IND | 177 | Under | 200.5 | 63 (100%) |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ NE | 221 | Under | 217.5 | 56 (100%) |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | @ SF | 241 | Over | 266.5 | 65 (100%) |
| 2025-10-13 | 6 | vs BUF | 250 | Over | 225.5 | 70 (100%) |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs WAS | 313 | Over | 309.5 | 65 (100%) |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | @ CAR | 172 | Under | 240.5 | 51 (77%) |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | @ MIN | 135 | Under | 143.5 | 66 (100%) |
Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 221.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 8m ago.