Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players
Nico Collins WR
HOU vs TEN ·
79.5 Rec Yds
O -105U -125
- Season avg
- 96.5
- Graph avg
- 78.1
- Graph median
- 80.021–121
- Over the close
- 60%6/10
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 79.5
- Home 44% 7/16 · avg 86.8
- Away 50% 8/16 · avg 72.0
- vs TEN 50% 2/4 · avg 75.2
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 59.5 60% 6/10
- O 69.5 60% 6/10
- O 79.5 Today 50% 5/10
- O 89.5 40% 4/10
- O 99.5 20% 2/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · WRs vs TEN
What TEN allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rec Yds161.7#8
- Receptions11.5#11
- Targets16.3#26
- Yds/Target9.9#1
- Rec TD1.0#10
WRs vs TEN · 2026
Each main WR who faced TEN this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 |
Zay Flowers | 118 | 117.0 | +1% |
| Oct 04 |
Rashod Bateman | 46 | 41.7 | +10% |
| Sep 27 |
Malik Nabers | 26 | 60.7 | -57% |
| Sep 27 |
Malachi Fields | 19 | 35.7 | -47% |
| Sep 20 |
DeVonta Smith | 117 | 59.0 | +98% |
| Sep 20 |
Dontayvion Wicks | 74 | 41.0 | +80% |
| Sep 13 |
Garrett Wilson | 79 | 63.7 | +24% |
| Sep 13 |
Isaiah Williams | 7 | 42.7 | -84% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
HOU offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%9.3 yds | 3%23.0 yds | 8%8.5 yds |
| Short | 24%4.9 yds | 22%9.0 yds | 36%5.7 yds |
Share of HOU pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
TEN defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%11.7 yds#12 | 4%24.2 yds#3 | 8%14.8 yds#5 |
| Short | 33%6.5 yds#7 | 16%9.4 yds#3 | 32%5.8 yds#14 |
Throws TEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 11%10.8 yds | 7%31.6 yds | 16%9.8 yds |
| Short | 16%4.6 yds | 27%11.3 yds | 22%8.6 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · HOU 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of HOU targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nico Collins WR | 2 | 9.0 | 18 | 28.9% |
| 2 | Xavier Hutchinson WR | 4 | 6.5 | 26 | 19.4% |
| 3 | Dalton Schultz TE | 4 | 6.8 | 27 | 17.3% |
| 4 | Jared Wayne WR | 3 | 4.0 | 12 | 10.9% |
| 5 | Kayshon Boutte WR | 4 | 3.2 | 13 | 9.7% |
| 6 | Jaylin Noel WR | 4 | 3.0 | 12 | 8.7% |
| 7 | Foster Moreau TE | 4 | 2.2 | 9 | 7.3% |
| 8 | Woody Marks RB | 4 | 2.2 | 9 | 5.6% |
| 9 | David Montgomery RB | 4 | 1.8 | 7 | 5.0% |
| 10 | Lewis Bond WR | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 4.0% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Rec Yds | vs 79.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | vs DAL | 118 | Over | 72.5 | 38 (69%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | vs BUF | 75 | Under | 69.5 | 57 (72%) |
| 2026-01-12 | 19 (P) | @ PIT | 21 | Under | 36.5 | 38 (56%) |
| 2025-12-27 | 17 | @ LAC | 57 | Under | 38.5 | 44 (68%) |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | vs LV | 59 | Under | 66.5 | 52 (80%) |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | vs ARI | 85 | Over | 75.5 | 49 (73%) |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | @ KC | 121 | Over | 121.5 | 57 (81%) |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | @ IND | 98 | Over | 75.5 | 57 (75%) |
| 2025-11-20 | 12 | vs BUF | 55 | Under | 55.5 | 44 (75%) |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ TEN | 92 | Over | 75.5 | 59 (84%) |
Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 77.5Underdog 79.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 8m ago.