Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players
Derrick Henry RB
BAL vs ATL ·
80.5 Rush Yds
O -114U -114
- Season avg
- 93.5
- Graph avg
- 109.8
- Graph median
- 97.060–216
- Over the close
- 30%3/10
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 80.5
- Home 55% 11/20 · avg 97.2
- Away 70% 14/20 · avg 110.8
- vs ATL No games
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 60.5 90% 9/10
- O 70.5 80% 8/10
- O 80.5 Today 70% 7/10
- O 90.5 60% 6/10
- O 100.5 40% 4/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · RBs vs ATL
What ATL allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rush Yds74.0#28
- Yds/Carry4.0#21
- Rush TD0.4#28
- Targets5.7#11
- Rec Yds23.5#30
RBs vs ATL · 2026
Each main RB who faced ATL this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05 |
Alvin Kamara | 23 | 25.5 | -10% |
| Sep 24 |
Kaleb Johnson | 6 | 24.7 | -76% |
| Sep 20 |
Chuba Hubbard | 53 | 84.3 | -37% |
| Sep 13 |
Jaylen Warren | 46 | 87.7 | -48% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
BAL offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%20.4 yds | 4%11.0 yds | 8%12.3 yds |
| Short | 26%6.9 yds | 25%10.6 yds | 29%5.2 yds |
Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
ATL defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 11%9.8 yds#17 | 2%18.7 yds#7 | 10%10.7 yds#16 |
| Short | 31%6.0 yds#13 | 14%5.7 yds#26 | 31%4.6 yds#31 |
Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Short | 39%12.7 yds | 11%-0.5 yds | 50%6.7 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · BAL 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of BAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zay Flowers WR | 3 | 7.3 | 22 | 29.8% |
| 2 | Mark Andrews TE | 4 | 6.0 | 24 | 23.7% |
| 3 | Rashod Bateman WR | 4 | 3.8 | 15 | 14.3% |
| 4 | Ja'Kobi Lane WR | 1 | 3.0 | 3 | 12.5% |
| 5 | Chris Moore WR | 3 | 2.0 | 6 | 7.9% |
| 6 | Matthew Hibner TE | 3 | 1.7 | 5 | 7.0% |
| 7 | Elijah Sarratt WR | 1 | 2.0 | 2 | 6.9% |
| 8 | Derrick Henry RB | 4 | 1.8 | 7 | 6.6% |
| 9 | Devontez Walker WR | 3 | 1.7 | 5 | 6.3% |
| 10 | Justice Hill RB | 4 | 1.5 | 6 | 5.4% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Rush Yds | vs 80.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | vs TEN | 73 | Under | 97.5 | 40 (62%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ DAL | 89 | Over | 90.5 | 43 (67%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | vs NO | 68 | Under | 94.5 | 31 (53%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | @ IND | 144 | Over | 79.5 | 37 (54%) |
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | @ PIT | 126 | Over | 135.5 | 36 (71%) |
| 2025-12-27 | 17 | @ GB | 216 | Over | 180.5 | 48 (63%) |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | vs NE | 128 | Over | 132.5 | 24 (44%) |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ CIN | 100 | Over | 118.5 | 15 (37%) |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs PIT | 94 | Over | 70.5 | 43 (54%) |
| 2025-11-27 | 13 | vs CIN | 60 | Under | 60.5 | 24 (40%) |
Pick’em lines: Underdog 79.5PrizePicks 81.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 8m ago.