NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Malik Willis QB

MIA vs NYJ · Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET

40.5 Rush Yds

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs NYJ — Odds imply —

Season avg: 37.2
Graph avg: —

2026 per game

Pass Yds169.8▲+64.3

Att26.0▲+17.2

Cmp%56.2%▼-29.6

Pass TD0.4▼-0.3

INT0.8▲+0.8

Rush Yds37.2▲+6.5

Snaps58.6▲+34.1

Snap %100.0%▲+57.8

No games vs NYJ in this range.

Splits all logged games · over 40.5

Home 57% 4/7 · avg 33.6
Away 25% 2/8 · avg 26.5
vs NYJ No games

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs NYJ

What NYJ allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds239.5#15
Yds/Att7.3#11
Cmp%65.4%#9
Pass TD2.4#2
Pass Att32.7#21

QBs vs NYJ · 2026

Each main QB who faced NYJ this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+1.1

Avg diff %+15%

Beat their average50% (3/6)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 18	Drake Maye	24	32.2	-25%
Oct 11	Deshaun Watson	40	31.2	+28%
Oct 04	Tyson Bagent	1	8.5	-88%
Sep 27	Jared Goff	6	2.5	+140%
Sep 20	Jordan Love	0	2.0	-100%
Sep 13	Cam Ward	21	9.0	+133%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

MIA offense

MIA offense: Share of MIA pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%7.9 yds	8%12.1 yds	9%10.8 yds
Short	30%7.0 yds	14%7.1 yds	32%4.6 yds

Share of MIA pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYJ defense

NYJ defense: Throws NYJ faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%10.0 yds#20	4%14.6 yds#17	8%14.2 yds#4
Short	30%5.3 yds#25	19%7.0 yds#17	31%6.5 yds#5

Throws NYJ faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 9 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%9.8 yds	8%14.5 yds	11%15.9 yds
Short	24%5.5 yds	12%7.4 yds	35%4.7 yds

Last 9 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of MIA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Malik Washington WR	5	7.2	36	28.0%
2	Caleb Douglas WR	2	5.0	10	19.5%
3	Kevin Coleman Jr. WR	4	4.2	17	17.3%
4	De'Von Achane RB	3	4.0	12	15.8%
5	Greg Dulcich TE	4	4.2	17	14.9%
6	Chris Bell WR	5	3.0	15	11.4%
7	Jalen Tolbert WR	2	1.5	3	6.8%
8	DJ Herman RB	2	1.5	3	6.5%
9	Will Kacmarek TE	5	1.2	6	5.5%
10	Ollie Gordon II RB	4	1.2	5	5.1%

Game log · 0 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 40.5	Close	Snaps

Pick’em lines: Underdog 39.5PrizePicks 40.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 6m ago.