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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Keaton Mitchell RB

LAC vs DEN ·

31.5 Rush Yds O -112U -112
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 30%3/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
31.0
Graph avg
28.3
Graph median
31.00–66
Over the close
62%5/8
2026 per game
Carries6.8â–²+2.2
Rush Yds31.0â–²+4.8
Rush TD0.0â–¼-0.1
Targets2.5â–²+1.6
Rec2.2â–²+1.6
Rec Yds8.5â–²+3.7
Snaps21.5â–²+11.3
Snap %32.8%â–²+15.3
Keaton Mitchell rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 31.5.
  1. 2024
    20
  2. 0
  3. 2025
    11
  4. 31
  5. 31
  6. 66
  7. 31
  8. 2
  9. 2026
    52
  10. 39
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 31.5

  • Home 18% 2/11 · avg 19.3
  • Away 27% 3/11 · avg 25.7
  • vs DEN No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 21.5 60% 6/10
  • O 26.5 60% 6/10
  • O 31.5 Today 30% 3/10
  • O 36.5 30% 3/10
  • O 41.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs DEN

What DEN allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds90.7#20
  • Yds/Carry4.3#19
  • Rush TD0.4#29
  • Targets5.6#13
  • Rec Yds28.6#20

RBs vs DEN · 2026

Each main RB who faced DEN this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+15.5
Avg diff %+14%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Christian McCaffrey5255.3-6%
Sep 27 Kyren Williams8868.7+28%
Sep 20 Bhayshul Tuten6570.7-8%
Sep 14 Kenneth Walker III173121.3+43%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LAC offense

LAC offense: Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep10%12.9 yds2%13.6 yds9%6.5 yds
Short29%6.6 yds14%5.4 yds37%4.8 yds

Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

DEN defense

DEN defense: Throws DEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep10%4.4 yds#314%8.4 yds#328%7.7 yds#28
Short29%7.6 yds#213%6.6 yds#1836%5.1 yds#23

Throws DEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 0% 0% 
Short41%6.1 yds18%0.5 yds41%4.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · LAC 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of LAC targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Tre Harris WR45.22117.8%
2Quentin Johnston WR44.81916.5%
3David Njoku TE24.0815.0%
4Ladd McConkey WR44.21714.8%
5Oronde Gadsden II TE43.81512.5%
6Brenen Thompson WR13.0311.5%
7Keaton Mitchell RB42.5108.1%
8Kimani Vidal RB32.066.3%
9Charlie Kolar TE21.535.8%
10Omarion Hampton RB41.254.3%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 31.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044@ SEA39Over18.526 (37%)
2026-09-273@ BUF52Over14.526 (38%)
2026-01-0418@ PIT2Under2.57 (14%)
2025-12-2717@ GB31Under35.514 (18%)
2025-12-1415@ CIN66Over20.516 (39%)
2025-11-1611@ CLE31Under25.516 (26%)
2025-11-0910@ MIN31Under10.55 (7%)
2025-10-309@ MIA11Under14.510 (18%)
2025-01-1920 (P)@ BUF0Under——
2024-12-2517@ HOU20Under—17 (27%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 31.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.