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Game logs through Oct 26, 2026 · 162 players

Baker Mayfield QB

TB vs ATL ·

16.5 Rush Yds O -108U -116
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 50%5/10 Odds imply 49.2% Over
Season avg
16.5
Graph avg
20.2
Graph median
17.50–49
Over the close
30%3/10
2026 per game
Pass Yds169.8â–¼-47.5
Att26.8â–¼-5.2
Cmp%63.6%â–²+0.4
Pass TD0.8â–¼-0.8
INT0.5â–¼-0.1
Rush Yds16.5â–¼-6.0
Snaps61.0â–¼-3.6
Snap %96.0%â–¼-1.1
Under 16.5 in 2 straight
Baker Mayfield rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 16.5.
16.5
  1. 2025
    33
  2. 15
  3. 0
  4. 0
  5. 39
  6. 19
  7. 49
  8. 16
  9. 2026
    30
  10. 1
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 16.5

  • Home 45% 9/20 · avg 18.9
  • Away 68% 13/19 · avg 24.7
  • vs ATL 50% 2/4 · avg 23.2

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 6.5 70% 7/10
  • O 11.5 70% 7/10
  • O 16.5 Today 50% 5/10
  • O 21.5 40% 4/10
  • O 26.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs ATL

What ATL allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds263.1#2
  • Yds/Att6.8#19
  • Cmp%63.5%#17
  • Pass TD1.5#14
  • Pass Att38.9#1

QBs vs ATL · 2026

Each main QB who faced ATL this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-14.8
Avg diff %-90%
Beat their average14% (1/7)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 25 Brock Purdy526.0-81%
Oct 18 Caleb Williams341.7-93%
Oct 11 Tyler Huntley2018.7+7%
Oct 05 Tyler Shough517.7-72%
Sep 24 Jordan Love01.7-100%
Sep 20 Kenny Pickett-419.5-121%
Sep 13 Aaron Rodgers-34.3-169%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

TB offense

TB offense: Share of TB pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%9.9 yds4%13.4 yds6%8.5 yds
Short34%5.1 yds14%7.2 yds36%5.3 yds

Share of TB pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ATL defense

ATL defense: Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%7.6 yds#273%19.0 yds#48%9.4 yds#22
Short32%6.4 yds#814%6.6 yds#2233%5.3 yds#19

Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%9.8 yds5%11.9 yds8%7.9 yds
Short32%5.5 yds15%6.9 yds32%6.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · TB 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of TB targets this season, with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Emeka Egbuka WR68.24925.6%
2Chris Godwin Jr. WR74.93419.9%
3Cade Otton TE74.33015.3%
4Ted Hurst III WR63.82312.7%
5Bucky Irving RB73.32312.4%
6Tez Johnson WR72.1158.4%
7Kenny Gainwell RB72.4178.0%
8Payne Durham TE21.023.4%
9Jalen McMillan WR11.012.9%
10Kameron Johnson WR70.321.1%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 16.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-257@ CAR1Under16.557 (90%)
2026-09-131@ CIN30Over15.557 (100%)
2025-12-2817@ MIA16Under16.567 (100%)
2025-12-2116@ CAR49Over23.564 (100%)
2025-11-2312@ LA19Over25.539 (56%)
2025-11-1611@ BUF39Over40.569 (99%)
2025-10-268@ NO0Under16.556 (97%)
2025-10-207@ DET0Under21.568 (99%)
2025-10-055@ SEA15Under20.561 (100%)
2025-09-152@ HOU33Over2.580 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 14.5Underdog 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.