NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Joe Burrow QB

CIN vs MIA ·

8.5 Rush Yds O -110U -114
Hit rate · Last 10 30%3/10 Odds imply 49.6% Over
Season avg
9.5
Graph avg
7.6
Graph median
6.0-1–20
Over the close
50%5/10
2026 per game
Pass Yds292.8â–²+66.6
Att39.2â–²+6.9
Cmp%71.3%â–²+4.5
Pass TD1.8â–¼-0.4
INT0.8â–²+0.1
Rush Yds9.5â–²+4.4
Snaps64.2â–²+4.5
Snap %100.0%â–²+12.2
Joe Burrow rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 8.5.
  1. 2025
    8
  2. 0
  3. 5
  4. 6
  5. 2
  6. 17
  7. 2026
    20
  8. -1
  9. 13
  10. 6
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 8.5

  • Home 57% 8/14 · avg 10.6
  • Away 33% 5/15 · avg 8.7
  • vs MIA 0% 0/1 · avg 6.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 3.5 70% 7/10
  • O 8.5 Today 30% 3/10
  • O 13.5 20% 2/10
  • O 18.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs MIA

What MIA allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds244.5#9
  • Yds/Att7.9#5
  • Cmp%73.3%#1
  • Pass TD1.8#6
  • Pass Att31.1#21

QBs vs MIA · 2026

Each main QB who faced MIA this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-4.3
Avg diff %-156%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Kyler Murray1613.0+23%
Sep 27 Patrick Mahomes113.3-93%
Sep 20 Brock Purdy3030.7-2%
Sep 13 Kirk Cousins-61.3-550%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CIN offense

CIN offense: Share of CIN pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%13.4 yds3%14.9 yds7%11.7 yds
Short32%5.5 yds20%8.2 yds34%6.2 yds

Share of CIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

MIA defense

MIA defense: Throws MIA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%12.1 yds#114%14.5 yds#198%11.2 yds#14
Short29%6.5 yds#615%8.6 yds#537%6.3 yds#6

Throws MIA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%13.4 yds3%14.9 yds7%11.7 yds
Short32%5.5 yds20%8.4 yds34%6.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · CIN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of CIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Tee Higgins WR49.83924.8%
2Ja'Marr Chase WR47.02819.7%
3Chase Brown RB46.02415.0%
4Mitchell Tinsley WR17.0713.2%
5Mike Gesicki TE35.01512.7%
6Erick All TE13.039.7%
7Dohnte Meyers WR44.0169.2%
8Drew Sample TE22.557.1%
9Andrei Iosivas WR22.046.0%
10Samaje Perine RB42.085.5%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 8.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs JAX6Under8.576 (100%)
2026-09-273@ PIT13Over5.557 (100%)
2026-09-202@ HOU-1Under8.560 (100%)
2026-09-131vs TB20Over8.564 (100%)
2026-01-0418vs CLE17Over3.567 (99%)
2025-12-2817vs ARI2Under4.564 (83%)
2025-12-2116@ MIA6Under5.555 (90%)
2025-12-1415vs BAL5Under5.576 (100%)
2025-12-0714@ BUF0Under6.560 (100%)
2025-11-2713@ BAL8Under5.583 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 8.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 15m ago.