NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 170 players

Tyjae Spears RB

TEN vs HOU ·

14.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 70%7/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
16.2
Graph avg
30.9
Graph median
23.05–95
Over the close
38%3/8
2026 per game
Carries3.8â–¼-1.8
Rush Yds16.2â–¼-5.5
Rush TD0.0â–¼-0.2
Targets1.8â–¼-2.1
Rec1.2â–¼-2.2
Rec Yds10.0â–¼-10.3
Snaps23.8â–¼-5.0
Snap %42.2%â–¼-3.7
Tyjae Spears rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 14.5.
  1. 2024
    27
  2. 95
  3. 2025
    14
  4. 31
  5. 59
  6. 19
  7. 34
  8. 18
  9. 2026
    5
  10. 7
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 14.5

  • Home 47% 7/15 · avg 16.1
  • Away 71% 10/14 · avg 29.9
  • vs HOU 0% 0/1 · avg 3.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 4.5 100% 10/10
  • O 9.5 80% 8/10
  • O 14.5 Today 70% 7/10
  • O 19.5 50% 5/10
  • O 24.5 50% 5/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs HOU

What HOU allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds75.3#27
  • Yds/Carry3.5#30
  • Rush TD0.5#23
  • Targets5.5#14
  • Rec Yds26.5#25

RBs vs HOU · 2026

Each main RB who faced HOU this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-11.3
Avg diff %+6%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Javonte Williams6253.5+16%
Sep 27 Jonathan Taylor6895.0-28%
Sep 20 Chase Brown8042.3+89%
Sep 13 James Cook57121.3-53%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

TEN offense

TEN offense: Share of TEN pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%5.7 yds2%12.0 yds6%15.8 yds
Short34%5.0 yds10%4.6 yds41%4.3 yds

Share of TEN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

HOU defense

HOU defense: Throws HOU faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%13.1 yds#83%23.1 yds#47%13.7 yds#6
Short27%5.2 yds#2619%6.6 yds#1934%5.0 yds#24

Throws HOU faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 0% 0% 
Short34%3.2 yds8%3.0 yds58%5.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · TEN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of TEN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Carnell Tate WR48.03229.9%
2Wan'Dale Robinson WR45.82319.1%
3Gunnar Helm TE43.01211.2%
4Elic Ayomanor WR42.51010.1%
5Tony Pollard RB42.8119.7%
6Tyjae Spears RB41.877.4%
7Calvin Ridley WR31.757.3%
8Daniel Bellinger TE41.254.7%
9Chimere Dike WR40.832.5%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 14.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044@ BAL7Under14.523 (36%)
2026-09-273@ NYG5Under16.528 (47%)
2026-01-0418@ JAX18Over14.525 (46%)
2025-12-1415@ SF34Over15.522 (42%)
2025-12-0714@ CLE19Over25.528 (42%)
2025-10-268@ IND59Over50.537 (52%)
2025-10-126@ LV31Over35.536 (59%)
2025-10-055@ ARI14Under17.517 (25%)
2024-12-2917@ JAX95Over—45 (65%)
2024-12-2216@ IND27Over—37 (61%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 14.5Underdog 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 15m ago.