NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Zach Charbonnet RB

SEA vs CHI · Mon Nov 2 · 8:15 PM ET

45.5 Rush Yds

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 50%5/10 Odds imply —

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 40.3
Graph median: 41.5-1–83
Over the close: 43%3/7

2026 per game

Carries—

Rush Yds—

Rush TD—

Targets—

Rec—

Rec Yds—

Snaps—

Snap %—

45.5

2024

54

Dec 15
-1

Dec 22
2025

47

Sep 07
36

Oct 05
49

Oct 20
83

Nov 09
52

Nov 30
31

Dec 14
32

Dec 18
20

Jan 17
?

Nov 03

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 45.5

Home 35% 6/17 · avg 33.6
Away 35% 6/17 · avg 44.0
vs CHI 100% 1/1 · avg 57.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 35.5 60% 6/10
O 40.5 50% 5/10
O 45.5 Today 50% 5/10
O 50.5 30% 3/10
O 55.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs CHI

What CHI allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds81.7#26
Yds/Carry4.2#17
Rush TD0.5#24
Targets4.6#29
Rec Yds33.7#11

RBs vs CHI · 2026

Each main RB who faced CHI this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.3

Avg diff %+14%

Beat their average43% (3/7)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 22	Rhamondre Stevenson	22	43.8	-50%
Oct 18	Bijan Robinson	61	107.2	-43%
Oct 11	MarShawn Lloyd	31	18.5	+68%
Oct 04	Braelon Allen	59	59.8	-1%
Sep 28	Saquon Barkley	82	40.5	+102%
Sep 20	Aaron Jones	105	66.2	+59%
Sep 13	Chuba Hubbard	49	82.0	-40%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

SEA offense

SEA offense: Share of SEA pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%10.3 yds	4%11.5 yds	7%16.3 yds
Short	30%6.2 yds	18%7.4 yds	36%6.4 yds

Share of SEA pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

CHI defense

CHI defense: Throws CHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%10.8 yds#14	4%19.2 yds#2	10%13.4 yds#9
Short	29%4.8 yds#31	19%8.7 yds#2	32%7.2 yds#2

Throws CHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	14%7.0 yds	50%8.0 yds	36%3.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of SEA targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR	7	11.1	78	36.9%
2	Rashid Shaheed WR	7	4.3	30	14.4%
3	AJ Barner TE	7	4.1	29	13.3%
4	Cooper Kupp WR	7	3.9	27	11.7%
5	Jadarian Price RB	3	2.3	7	7.6%
6	George Holani RB	7	2.0	14	6.6%
7	Tory Horton WR	4	2.5	10	6.6%
8	Emanuel Wilson RB	7	1.3	9	5.3%
9	Elijah Arroyo TE	2	1.0	2	3.8%
10	Eric Saubert TE	7	0.7	5	2.0%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 45.5	Close	Snaps
2026-01-17	20 (P)	vs SF	20	Under	48.5	8 (15%)
2025-12-18	16	vs LA	32	Under	33.5	38 (56%)
2025-12-14	15	vs IND	31	Under	37.5	33 (55%)
2025-11-30	13	vs MIN	52	Over	30.5	26 (39%)
2025-11-09	10	vs ARI	83	Over	39.5	23 (37%)
2025-10-20	7	vs HOU	49	Over	—	37 (51%)
2025-10-05	5	vs TB	36	Under	40.5	34 (56%)
2025-09-07	1	vs SF	47	Over	28.5	30 (58%)
2024-12-22	16	vs MIN	-1	Under	—	14 (22%)
2024-12-15	15	vs GB	54	Over	—	47 (80%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 45.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 6m ago.