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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Jaylen Warren RB

PIT vs IND ·

61.5 Rush Yds O -113U -111
Hit rate · Last 10 50%5/10 Odds imply 50.2% Over
Season avg
77.2
Graph avg
67.1
Graph median
55.013–143
Over the close
60%6/10
2026 per game
Carries13.8â–²+0.6
Rush Yds77.2â–²+18.4
Rush TD0.0â–¼-0.4
Targets5.0â–²+2.3
Rec3.2â–²+0.8
Rec Yds35.8â–²+15.9
Snaps50.2â–²+20.0
Snap %73.8%â–²+23.3
Jaylen Warren rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 61.5.
  1. 2025
    13
  2. 33
  3. 143
  4. 64
  5. 66
  6. 43
  7. 2026
    46
  8. 43
  9. 127
  10. 93
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 61.5

  • Home 28% 5/18 · avg 48.9
  • Away 37% 7/19 · avg 49.8
  • vs IND 0% 0/1 · avg 31.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 41.5 80% 8/10
  • O 51.5 50% 5/10
  • O 61.5 Today 50% 5/10
  • O 71.5 30% 3/10
  • O 81.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs IND

What IND allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds97.0#16
  • Yds/Carry4.2#20
  • Rush TD0.7#16
  • Targets4.8#24
  • Rec Yds24.9#26

RBs vs IND · 2026

Each main RB who faced IND this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+3.4
Avg diff %+2%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Jacory Croskey-Merritt1547.3-68%
Sep 27 David Montgomery3331.3+5%
Sep 20 Kenneth Walker III117140.0-16%
Sep 13 Derrick Henry14476.7+88%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

PIT offense

PIT offense: Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%8.8 yds4%14.4 yds9%7.4 yds
Short28%5.0 yds18%7.8 yds34%5.0 yds

Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

IND defense

IND defense: Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%12.5 yds#103%12.3 yds#2410%11.7 yds#13
Short27%6.2 yds#1020%9.0 yds#433%6.0 yds#7

Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 0% 0% 
Short32%3.2 yds16%13.0 yds53%7.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · PIT 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of PIT targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1DK Metcalf WR48.23322.6%
2Roman Wilson WR46.02416.8%
3Jaylen Warren RB45.02013.8%
4Pat Freiermuth TE44.81913.2%
5Michael Pittman WR34.01211.5%
6Germie Bernard WR33.71110.0%
7Rico Dowdle RB23.579.5%
8Darnell Washington TE43.2139.1%
9Ben Skowronek WR31.343.7%
10Robert Tonyan TE11.013.2%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 61.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-014@ CLE93Over75.570 (97%)
2026-09-273vs CIN127Over57.556 (90%)
2026-09-202@ NE43Under42.550 (71%)
2026-09-131vs ATL46Under42.525 (37%)
2026-01-1219 (P)vs HOU43Under30.526 (46%)
2026-01-0418vs BAL66Over66.528 (37%)
2025-12-2817@ CLE64Over65.521 (32%)
2025-12-2116@ DET143Over40.536 (49%)
2025-12-1515vs MIA33Under40.530 (45%)
2025-12-0714@ BAL13Under50.526 (50%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 59.5PrizePicks 61.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 16m ago.