NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Ollie Gordon II RB

MIA vs NYJ · Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET

1.5 Receptions

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 10%1/10 Odds imply —

Season avg: 1.2
Graph avg: 0.6
Graph median: 0.50–2
Over the close: 50%1/2

2026 per game

Carries11.8▲+7.6

Rush Yds59.0▲+47.3

Rush TD0.8▲+0.6

Targets1.2▲+0.7

Rec1.2▲+0.8

Rec Yds3.5▲+1.6

Snaps34.2▲+21.2

Snap %56.0%▲+33.6

1.5

2025

1

Sep 07
0

Sep 18
0

Oct 05
1

Oct 19
1

Oct 26
0

Dec 07
0

Dec 15
1

Jan 04
2026

0

Sep 20
2

Oct 04
?

Oct 25

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

Home 9% 1/11 · avg 0.5
Away 10% 1/10 · avg 0.6
vs NYJ 0% 0/2 · avg 0.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 50% 5/10
O 1.5 Today 10% 1/10
O 2.5 0% 0/10
O 3.5 0% 0/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs NYJ

What NYJ allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds104.7#6
Yds/Carry4.2#15
Rush TD0.6#14
Targets5.0#23
Rec Yds38.2#5

RBs vs NYJ · 2026

Each main RB who faced NYJ this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.5

Avg diff %-19%

Beat their average33% (2/6)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 18	Rhamondre Stevenson	0	3.0	-100%
Oct 11	Quinshon Judkins	3	3.8	-20%
Oct 04	D'Andre Swift	2	3.2	-38%
Sep 27	Jahmyr Gibbs	7	5.0	+40%
Sep 20	MarShawn Lloyd	2	1.6	+25%
Sep 13	Tyjae Spears	2	2.6	-23%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

MIA offense

MIA offense: Share of MIA pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%7.9 yds	8%12.1 yds	9%10.8 yds
Short	30%7.0 yds	14%7.1 yds	32%4.6 yds

Share of MIA pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYJ defense

NYJ defense: Throws NYJ faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%10.0 yds#20	4%14.6 yds#17	8%14.2 yds#4
Short	30%5.3 yds#25	19%7.0 yds#17	31%6.5 yds#5

Throws NYJ faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	64%2.6 yds	7%0.0 yds	29%5.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of MIA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Malik Washington WR	5	7.2	36	28.0%
2	Caleb Douglas WR	2	5.0	10	19.5%
3	Kevin Coleman Jr. WR	4	4.2	17	17.3%
4	De'Von Achane RB	3	4.0	12	15.8%
5	Greg Dulcich TE	4	4.2	17	14.9%
6	Chris Bell WR	5	3.0	15	11.4%
7	Jalen Tolbert WR	2	1.5	3	6.8%
8	DJ Herman RB	2	1.5	3	6.5%
9	Will Kacmarek TE	5	1.2	6	5.5%
10	Ollie Gordon II RB	4	1.2	5	5.1%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 1.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ MIN	2	Over	1.5	22 (56%)
2026-09-20	2	@ SF	0	Under	—	11 (19%)
2026-01-04	18	@ NE	1	Under	—	20 (36%)
2025-12-15	15	@ PIT	0	Under	0.5	6 (12%)
2025-12-07	14	@ NYJ	0	Under	—	16 (25%)
2025-10-26	8	@ ATL	1	Under	—	21 (30%)
2025-10-19	7	@ CLE	1	Under	—	18 (31%)
2025-10-05	5	@ CAR	0	Under	—	14 (25%)
2025-09-18	3	@ BUF	0	Under	—	15 (25%)
2025-09-07	1	@ IND	1	Under	—	12 (25%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 1.5Underdog 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 5m ago.