NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Efton Chism III WR

NE vs CHI · Thu Oct 22 · 8:15 PM ET

1.5 Receptions O -222U +146

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs CHI — Odds imply 62.9% Over

Season avg: 1.8
Graph avg: —

2026 per game

Targets2.8▲+2.4

Rec1.8▲+1.4

Rec Yds19.6▲+10.1

Rec TD0.2▲+0.1

Snaps31.8▲+19.0

Snap %45.2%▲+25.3

No games vs CHI in this range.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

Home 11% 1/9 · avg 0.9
Away 33% 2/6 · avg 0.8
vs CHI No games

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs CHI

What CHI allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds183.7#2
Receptions12.0#10
Targets19.1#12
Yds/Target9.6#1
Rec TD1.1#5

WRs vs CHI · 2026

Each main WR who faced CHI this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.4

Avg diff %-2%

Beat their average42% (5/12)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 18	Drake London	4	5.4	-26%
Oct 18	Jahan Dotson	3	1.6	+88%
Oct 11	Matthew Golden	6	4.8	+25%
Oct 11	Christian Watson	6	4.6	+30%
Oct 04	Garrett Wilson	3	6.4	-53%
Oct 04	Isaiah Williams	2	1.8	+11%
Sep 28	DeVonta Smith	6	6.7	-10%
Sep 28	Dontayvion Wicks	2	3.4	-41%
Sep 20	Justin Jefferson	3	5.3	-44%
Sep 20	Jordan Addison	2	3.0	-33%
Sep 13	Tetairoa McMillan	5	6.8	-26%
Sep 13	Jalen Coker	8	5.3	+50%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NE offense

NE offense: Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	12%10.7 yds	3%10.5 yds	10%14.9 yds
Short	30%5.4 yds	16%7.2 yds	29%5.9 yds

Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

CHI defense

CHI defense: Throws CHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%13.1 yds#8	4%21.1 yds#1	9%12.8 yds#10
Short	29%4.5 yds#32	19%8.5 yds#5	31%6.5 yds#4

Throws CHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 8 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	11%10.0 yds	0%	22%23.5 yds
Short	22%2.8 yds	22%13.5 yds	22%6.5 yds

Last 8 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	A.J. Brown WR	2	7.0	14	23.1%
2	DeMario Douglas WR	6	5.0	30	16.7%
3	Mack Hollins WR	4	5.0	20	16.7%
4	Hunter Henry TE	6	4.0	24	13.9%
5	Romeo Doubs WR	6	4.0	24	13.3%
6	Rhamondre Stevenson RB	6	3.2	19	10.4%
7	Reggie Gilliam RB	1	2.0	2	9.5%
8	Efton Chism III WR	5	2.8	14	9.0%
9	Eli Raridon TE	5	2.4	12	7.9%
10	Lan Larison RB	1	2.0	2	6.5%

Game log · 0 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 1.5	Close	Snaps

Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 5m ago.