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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Alvin Kamara RB

NO vs MIN ·

3.5 Receptions O +104U -132
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 60%6/10 Odds imply 46.3% Over
Season avg
3.7
Graph avg
4.0
Graph median
4.51–6
Over the close
40%2/5
2026 per game
Carries8.3â–¼-3.6
Rush Yds24.7â–¼-18.2
Rush TD0.7â–²+0.6
Targets4.7â–²+1.1
Rec3.7â–²+0.7
Rec Yds15.7â–¼-1.2
Snaps24.0â–¼-17.5
Snap %33.0%â–¼-30.7
Alvin Kamara receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 3.5.
  1. 2024
    6
  2. 6
  3. 6
  4. 5
  5. 2025
    1
  6. 4
  7. 3
  8. 1
  9. 3
  10. 2026
    5
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

  • Home 69% 11/16 · avg 3.9
  • Away 58% 7/12 · avg 4.1
  • vs MIN No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 1.5 80% 8/10
  • O 2.5 80% 8/10
  • O 3.5 Today 60% 6/10
  • O 4.5 50% 5/10
  • O 5.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs MIN

What MIN allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds92.2#19
  • Yds/Carry3.9#23
  • Rush TD0.4#24
  • Targets3.9#32
  • Rec Yds18.9#32

RBs vs MIN · 2026

Each main RB who faced MIN this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.1
Avg diff %+24%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Ollie Gordon II21.5+33%
Sep 27 Bucky Irving23.2-38%
Sep 20 D'Andre Swift51.7+200%
Sep 13 MarShawn Lloyd03.0-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NO offense

NO offense: Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%7.6 yds3%18.2 yds8%13.3 yds
Short30%5.7 yds14%9.0 yds36%5.9 yds

Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

MIN defense

MIN defense: Throws MIN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep5%10.5 yds#136%16.7 yds#127%10.3 yds#19
Short34%4.8 yds#3117%5.4 yds#2832%4.7 yds#27

Throws MIN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep3%0.0 yds0% 0% 
Short45%5.5 yds21%7.2 yds32%2.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · NO 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NO targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Chris Olave WR412.04828.6%
2Devaughn Vele WR47.83118.3%
3Juwan Johnson TE46.82715.7%
4Alvin Kamara RB34.71412.0%
5Travis Etienne RB34.3139.5%
6Noah Fant TE34.0128.5%
7Bryce Lance WR43.2137.2%
8Kendre Miller RB32.064.6%
9Kevin Austin Jr. WR11.013.1%
10CJ Donaldson RB41.042.0%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 3.5CloseSnaps
2026-09-202@ BAL5Over2.520 (29%)
2025-11-0910@ CAR3Under3.543 (63%)
2025-11-029@ LA1Under1.524 (59%)
2025-10-197@ CHI3Under2.547 (84%)
2025-09-284@ BUF4Over4.549 (73%)
2025-09-213@ SEA1Under—54 (74%)
2024-12-0814@ NYG5Over—49 (72%)
2024-11-039@ CAR6Over—61 (77%)
2024-10-278@ LAC6Over—40 (55%)
2024-10-075@ KC6Over—47 (89%)

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.