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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Josh Downs WR

IND vs PIT ·

4.5 Receptions O -145U +114
Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 50%5/10 Odds imply 55.9% Over
Season avg
4.2
Graph avg
3.8
Graph median
4.01–6
Over the close
20%2/10
2026 per game
Targets7.0â–²+1.5
Rec4.2â–²+0.6
Rec Yds50.5â–²+15.1
Rec TD0.0â–¼-0.2
Snaps50.2â–²+13.1
Snap %79.2%â–²+20.6
Josh Downs receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.
  1. 2025
    6
  2. 6
  3. 6
  4. 3
  5. 1
  6. 2
  7. 5
  8. 2
  9. 2026
    2
  10. 5
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

  • Home 44% 8/18 · avg 4.2
  • Away 38% 6/16 · avg 4.5
  • vs PIT 100% 2/2 · avg 7.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 2.5 60% 6/10
  • O 3.5 50% 5/10
  • O 4.5 Today 50% 5/10
  • O 5.5 30% 3/10
  • O 6.5 0% 0/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs PIT

What PIT allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds154.0#11
  • Receptions10.4#20
  • Targets15.9#29
  • Yds/Target9.7#2
  • Rec TD0.8#18

WRs vs PIT · 2026

Each main WR who faced PIT this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.0
Avg diff %+2%
Beat their average38% (3/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 01 KC Concepcion54.0+25%
Oct 01 Denzel Boston43.0+33%
Sep 27 Tee Higgins66.3-5%
Sep 27 Ja'Marr Chase94.0+125%
Sep 20 Mack Hollins24.3-54%
Sep 20 Romeo Doubs33.0+0%
Sep 13 Drake London26.0-67%
Sep 13 Jahan Dotson11.7-40%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

IND offense

IND offense: Share of IND pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%8.3 yds5%17.4 yds5%6.2 yds
Short30%5.3 yds18%6.6 yds35%4.6 yds

Share of IND pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PIT defense

PIT defense: Throws PIT faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%21.5 yds#14%12.8 yds#226%18.4 yds#2
Short33%5.8 yds#1722%6.4 yds#2028%5.5 yds#15

Throws PIT faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep13%9.0 yds2%18.0 yds8%6.0 yds
Short23%4.5 yds21%7.5 yds34%7.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · IND 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of IND targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Josh Downs WR47.02822.3%
2Tyler Warren TE46.82721.6%
3Keenan Allen WR36.72021.0%
4Jonathan Taylor RB43.81512.4%
5Ashton Dulin WR23.5712.1%
6Alec Pierce WR23.5712.0%
7Laquon Treadwell WR42.8119.2%
8Deion Burks WR21.023.4%
9Mo Alie-Cox TE11.012.9%
10Seth McGowan RB40.832.6%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 4.5CloseSnaps
2026-09-273vs HOU5Over4.548 (68%)
2026-09-131vs BAL2Under4.548 (89%)
2025-12-2817vs JAX2Under3.535 (61%)
2025-12-2216vs SF5Over5.547 (78%)
2025-11-3013vs HOU2Under2.531 (57%)
2025-11-0910vs ATL1Under1.536 (47%)
2025-10-268vs TEN3Under3.534 (64%)
2025-10-126vs ARI6Over6.530 (51%)
2025-10-055vs LV6Over3.533 (50%)
2025-09-142vs DEN6Over6.541 (58%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 5Underdog 5.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 18m ago.