NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Jonathan Taylor RB

IND vs PIT ·

2.5 Receptions O +100U -127
Hit rate · Last 10 60%6/10 Odds imply 47.2% Over
Season avg
2.5
Graph avg
2.4
Graph median
3.00–4
Over the close
33%3/9
2026 per game
Carries21.5â–²+2.5
Rush Yds88.2â–¼-5.0
Rush TD1.5â–²+0.4
Targets3.8â–²+0.5
Rec2.5â–¼-0.2
Rec Yds17.2â–¼-5.0
Snaps54.0â–²+2.1
Snap %84.7%â–²+2.2
Jonathan Taylor receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 2.5.
  1. 2025
    3
  2. 0
  3. 3
  4. 3
  5. 3
  6. 2
  7. 2026
    3
  8. 4
  9. 2
  10. 1
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

  • Home 50% 9/18 · avg 2.1
  • Away 35% 6/17 · avg 2.1
  • vs PIT 50% 1/2 · avg 2.5

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 90% 9/10
  • O 1.5 80% 8/10
  • O 2.5 Today 60% 6/10
  • O 3.5 10% 1/10
  • O 4.5 0% 0/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs PIT

What PIT allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds98.9#13
  • Yds/Carry4.5#12
  • Rush TD0.4#31
  • Targets6.3#8
  • Rec Yds34.3#13

RBs vs PIT · 2026

Each main RB who faced PIT this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.5
Avg diff %+65%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 01 Quinshon Judkins63.0+100%
Sep 27 Chase Brown26.3-68%
Sep 20 Rhamondre Stevenson13.7-73%
Sep 13 Bijan Robinson82.0+300%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

IND offense

IND offense: Share of IND pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%8.3 yds5%17.4 yds5%6.2 yds
Short30%5.3 yds18%6.6 yds35%4.6 yds

Share of IND pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PIT defense

PIT defense: Throws PIT faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%21.5 yds#14%12.8 yds#226%18.4 yds#2
Short33%5.8 yds#1722%6.4 yds#2028%5.5 yds#15

Throws PIT faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 0% 3%0.0 yds
Short53%5.8 yds5%10.0 yds40%3.3 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · IND 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of IND targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Josh Downs WR47.02822.3%
2Tyler Warren TE46.82721.6%
3Keenan Allen WR36.72021.0%
4Jonathan Taylor RB43.81512.4%
5Ashton Dulin WR23.5712.1%
6Alec Pierce WR23.5712.0%
7Laquon Treadwell WR42.8119.2%
8Deion Burks WR21.023.4%
9Mo Alie-Cox TE11.012.9%
10Seth McGowan RB40.832.6%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 2.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044@ WAS1Under2.547 (71%)
2026-09-273vs HOU2Under2.560 (85%)
2026-09-202@ KC4Over2.561 (94%)
2026-09-131vs BAL3Over2.548 (89%)
2026-01-0418@ HOU2Under—34 (52%)
2025-12-2817vs JAX3Over3.551 (89%)
2025-12-2216vs SF3Over3.553 (88%)
2025-12-1415@ SEA3Over2.551 (85%)
2025-12-0714@ JAX0Under2.552 (74%)
2025-11-3013vs HOU3Over3.553 (98%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 2.5Underdog 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 9m ago.