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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Nico Collins WR

HOU vs TEN ·

5.5 Receptions O -120U -106
Hit rate · Last 10 · vs TEN 25%1/4 Odds imply 51.5% Over
Season avg
7.0
Graph avg
5.8
Graph median
5.04–9
Over the close
50%1/2
2026 per game
Targets9.0â–²+1.1
Rec7.0â–²+2.4
Rec Yds96.5â–²+25.4
Rec TD1.5â–²+1.1
Snaps47.5â–¼-3.5
Snap %70.5%â–¼-5.4
Nico Collins receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 5.5.
  1. 2024
    5
  2. 5
  3. 2025
    4
  4. 9
  5. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 5.5

  • Home 44% 7/16 · avg 5.4
  • Away 31% 5/16 · avg 5.1
  • vs TEN 25% 1/4 · avg 5.8

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 3.5 100% 4/4
  • O 4.5 75% 3/4
  • O 5.5 Today 25% 1/4
  • O 6.5 25% 1/4
  • O 7.5 25% 1/4

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs TEN

What TEN allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds161.7#8
  • Receptions11.5#11
  • Targets16.3#26
  • Yds/Target9.9#1
  • Rec TD1.0#10

WRs vs TEN · 2026

Each main WR who faced TEN this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.5
Avg diff %+4%
Beat their average38% (3/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Zay Flowers85.0+60%
Oct 04 Rashod Bateman23.0-33%
Sep 27 Malik Nabers54.3+15%
Sep 27 Malachi Fields22.0+0%
Sep 20 DeVonta Smith104.5+122%
Sep 20 Makai Lemon13.0-67%
Sep 13 Garrett Wilson66.0+0%
Sep 13 Isaiah Williams13.0-67%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

HOU offense

HOU offense: Share of HOU pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%9.3 yds3%23.0 yds8%8.5 yds
Short24%4.9 yds22%9.0 yds36%5.7 yds

Share of HOU pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

TEN defense

TEN defense: Throws TEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%11.7 yds#124%24.2 yds#38%14.8 yds#5
Short33%6.5 yds#716%9.4 yds#332%5.8 yds#14

Throws TEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep11%10.8 yds7%31.6 yds16%9.8 yds
Short16%4.6 yds27%11.3 yds22%8.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · HOU 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of HOU targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Nico Collins WR29.01828.9%
2Xavier Hutchinson WR46.52619.4%
3Dalton Schultz TE46.82717.3%
4Jared Wayne WR34.01210.9%
5Kayshon Boutte WR43.2139.7%
6Jaylin Noel WR43.0128.7%
7Foster Moreau TE42.297.3%
8Woody Marks RB42.295.6%
9David Montgomery RB41.875.0%
10Lewis Bond WR11.014.0%

Game log · 4 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 5.5CloseSnaps
2025-11-1611@ TEN9Over8.559 (84%)
2025-09-284vs TEN4Under5.561 (86%)
2025-01-0518@ TEN5Under—11 (18%)
2024-11-2412vs TEN5Under—44 (79%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 5.5Underdog 5.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.