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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Efton Chism III WR

NE vs LV ·

1.5 Receptions O -167U +131
Hit rate · Last 10 20%2/10 Odds imply 59.1% Over
Season avg
1.3
Graph avg
0.8
Graph median
1.00–2
Over the close
50%1/2
2026 per game
Targets2.3â–²+1.9
Rec1.3â–²+0.9
Rec Yds13.7â–²+4.2
Rec TD0.3â–²+0.2
Snaps20.0â–²+7.2
Snap %29.3%â–²+9.4
Efton Chism III receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
  1. 2025
    0
  2. 0
  3. 0
  4. 2
  5. 1
  6. 1
  7. 0
  8. 2026
    1
  9. 1
  10. 2
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 0% 0/7 · avg 0.4
  • Away 33% 2/6 · avg 0.8
  • vs LV No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 60% 6/10
  • O 1.5 Today 20% 2/10
  • O 2.5 0% 0/10
  • O 3.5 0% 0/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs LV

What LV allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds136.0#18
  • Receptions10.4#18
  • Targets17.0#19
  • Yds/Target8.0#14
  • Rec TD0.5#28

WRs vs LV · 2026

Each main WR who faced LV this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.5
Avg diff %-2%
Beat their average38% (3/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Xavier Worthy43.3+20%
Oct 04 Tyquan Thornton52.0+150%
Sep 27 Chris Olave98.7+4%
Sep 27 Devaughn Vele36.0-50%
Sep 20 Tre Harris14.0-75%
Sep 20 Ladd McConkey33.0+0%
Sep 13 Malik Washington34.7-36%
Sep 13 Chris Bell11.3-25%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NE offense

NE offense: Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep12%10.4 yds4%10.0 yds11%11.9 yds
Short30%6.1 yds16%7.9 yds28%6.1 yds

Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LV defense

LV defense: Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%15.4 yds#34%11.7 yds#276%5.0 yds#31
Short34%5.7 yds#1815%6.2 yds#2232%5.2 yds#22

Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 6 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%20.0 yds0% 27%25.7 yds
Short27%-0.7 yds9%30.0 yds27%3.7 yds

Last 6 games · Yds/target

Target share · NE 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Romeo Doubs WR45.02016.8%
2Mack Hollins WR45.02016.7%
3DeMario Douglas WR44.21714.3%
4Hunter Henry TE43.81513.5%
5Rhamondre Stevenson RB44.01613.2%
6A.J. Brown WR14.0412.9%
7Reggie Gilliam RB12.029.5%
8Efton Chism III WR32.377.5%
9Lan Larison RB12.026.5%
10Kyle Williams WR41.876.3%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 1.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044@ BUF2Over—34 (45%)
2026-09-273@ JAX1Under—16 (25%)
2026-09-202vs PIT1Under—10 (18%)
2026-01-1820 (P)vs HOU0Under0.522 (34%)
2026-01-1119 (P)vs LAC1Under0.514 (22%)
2026-01-0418vs MIA1Under—26 (44%)
2025-12-2817@ NYJ2Over—41 (62%)
2025-12-0113vs NYG0Under—2 (3%)
2025-11-1311vs NYJ0Under—5 (7%)
2025-11-0910@ TB0Under—2 (3%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 9m ago.