NFL Prop Research

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Adonai Mitchell WR

NYJ vs LV · Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET

1.5 Receptions O -171U +133

BookESPN BET · 1.5Fanatics · 1.5Caesars · 1.5FanDuel · 1.5DraftKings · 1.5Bally Bet · 1.5

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 50%5/10 Odds imply 59.5% Over

Season avg

3.0

Graph avg

2.2

Graph median

1.50–8

Over the close

43%3/7

2026 per game

Targets6.0▲+1.4

Rec3.0▲+0.9

Rec Yds41.0▲+12.7

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps44.3▲+13.2

Snap %65.0%▲+14.4

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

• Home 41% 7/17 · avg 1.9
• Away 42% 8/19 · avg 1.7
• vs LV 0% 0/1 · avg 0.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

• O 0.5 60% 6/10
• O 1.5 Today 50% 5/10
• O 2.5 30% 3/10
• O 3.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs LV

What LV allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds142.3#15
• Receptions9.8#28
• Targets16.8#25
• Yds/Target8.5#11
• Rec TD0.8#16

WRs vs LV · 2026

Each main WR who faced LV this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.1

Avg diff %+12%

Beat their average50% (7/14)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 25	LA Puka Nacua	8	9.2	-14%
Oct 25	LA Konata Mumpfield	1	1.6	-38%
Oct 18	BUF Khalil Shakir	4	3.6	+11%
Oct 18	BUF Keon Coleman	4	3.0	+33%
Oct 11	NE DeMario Douglas	4	3.2	+26%
Oct 11	NE Romeo Doubs	1	2.6	-62%
Oct 04	KC Xavier Worthy	4	4.0	+0%
Oct 04	KC Tyquan Thornton	5	2.0	+150%
Sep 27	NO Chris Olave	9	6.7	+35%
Sep 27	NO Devaughn Vele	3	5.0	-40%
Sep 20	LAC Tre Harris	1	3.5	-71%
Sep 20	LAC Ladd McConkey	3	2.5	+20%
Sep 13	MIA Malik Washington	3	4.6	-35%
Sep 13	MIA Caleb Douglas	5	2.0	+150%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYJ offense

NYJ offense: Share of NYJ pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%13.4 yds	2%26.4 yds	5%15.2 yds
Short	33%5.6 yds	11%5.0 yds	43%5.3 yds

Share of NYJ pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LV defense

LV defense: Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.5 yds#7	4%10.8 yds#29	7%10.4 yds#17
Short	32%5.7 yds#16	15%6.6 yds#21	33%5.8 yds#11

Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	17%6.5 yds	1%16.0 yds	14%10.3 yds
Short	39%5.7 yds	1%2.0 yds	27%3.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · NYJ 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYJ targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Garrett Wilson WR	7	7.3	51	25.9%
2	Adonai Mitchell WR	3	6.0	18	18.9%
3	Mason Taylor TE	4	4.5	18	16.2%
4	Omar Cooper Jr. WR	3	4.3	13	15.2%
5	Kenyon Sadiq TE	7	3.6	25	13.5%
6	Braelon Allen RB	7	2.9	20	10.5%
7	Breece Hall RB	3	3.3	10	10.3%
8	Tim Patrick WR	2	3.0	6	10.3%
9	Isaiah Williams WR	7	2.0	14	7.6%
10	Jeremy Ruckert TE	4	2.0	8	5.9%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 1.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-25	7	vs MIA	0	Under	2.5	26 (44%)
2026-09-20	2	vs GB	6	Over	2.5	61 (82%)
2025-12-28	17	vs NE	3	Over	3.5	50 (81%)
2025-12-07	14	vs MIA	1	Under	4.5	53 (91%)
2025-11-30	13	vs ATL	8	Over	2.5	57 (86%)
2025-10-26	8	vs TEN	0	Under	—	9 (17%)
2025-10-05	5	vs LV	0	Under	1.5	6 (9%)
2025-09-14	2	vs DEN	2	Over	—	7 (10%)
2025-09-07	1	vs MIA	2	Over	1.5	15 (21%)
2025-01-05	18	vs JAX	0	Under	—	16 (21%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: DraftKings, updated 10m ago.