NFL Prop Research

SD

Stefon Diggs WR

WAS vs PHI · Sun Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET

4.5 Receptions O +113U -145

BookCaesars · 4.5Fanatics · 4.5BetMGM · 4.5ESPN BET · 4.5FanDuel · 4.5DraftKings · 4.5Bally Bet · 3.5

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 20%2/10 Odds imply 44.2% Over

Season avg

4.8

Graph avg

3.9

Graph median

3.02–9

Over the close

30%3/10

2026 per game

Targets7.6▲+1.8

Rec4.8▲+0.1

Rec Yds42.8▼-10.7

Rec TD0.8▲+0.6

Snaps40.8▲+5.7

Snap %60.0%▲+5.7

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

• Home 39% 7/18 · avg 4.3
• Away 75% 12/16 · avg 5.8
• vs PHI 0% 0/1 · avg 4.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

• O 2.5 90% 9/10
• O 3.5 40% 4/10
• O 4.5 Today 20% 2/10
• O 5.5 10% 1/10
• O 6.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs PHI

What PHI allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds171.7#6
• Receptions11.9#11
• Targets19.7#9
• Yds/Target8.7#8
• Rec TD1.0#6

WRs vs PHI · 2026

Each main WR who faced PHI this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.7

Avg diff %-14%

Beat their average21% (3/14)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 26	DAL CeeDee Lamb	5	8.0	-38%
Oct 26	DAL George Pickens	4	5.5	-27%
Oct 18	CAR Tetairoa McMillan	6	6.0	+0%
Oct 18	CAR Jalen Coker	6	4.8	+26%
Oct 11	JAX Parker Washington	6	4.0	+50%
Oct 11	JAX Jakobi Meyers	2	3.6	-44%
Oct 04	LA Puka Nacua	9	9.0	+0%
Oct 04	LA Davante Adams	4	5.2	-23%
Sep 28	CHI Luther Burden III	7	4.7	+50%
Sep 28	CHI Rome Odunze	3	3.5	-14%
Sep 20	TEN Carnell Tate	3	5.2	-42%
Sep 20	TEN Wan'Dale Robinson	1	4.7	-79%
Sep 13	WAS Stefon Diggs	4	5.0	-20%
Sep 13	WAS Terry McLaurin	2	3.2	-38%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

WAS offense

WAS offense: Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%11.8 yds	4%16.3 yds	11%5.7 yds
Short	27%6.0 yds	15%6.5 yds	35%5.9 yds

Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PHI defense

PHI defense: Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%8.6 yds#22	4%17.6 yds#8	9%13.4 yds#8
Short	32%6.1 yds#10	19%7.1 yds#18	32%5.4 yds#16

Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	2%0.0 yds	3%13.0 yds	10%9.0 yds
Short	33%4.7 yds	26%5.5 yds	26%6.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · WAS 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of WAS targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Stefon Diggs WR	5	7.6	38	23.4%
2	Terry McLaurin WR	5	5.4	27	18.1%
3	Chig Okonkwo TE	4	5.0	20	16.9%
4	Antonio Williams WR	6	4.3	26	13.8%
5	Treylon Burks WR	5	3.4	17	11.4%
6	Rachaad White RB	5	3.0	15	9.3%
7	Dyami Brown WR	6	2.7	16	8.4%
8	John Bates TE	4	1.5	6	5.2%
9	Austin Ekeler RB	3	1.7	5	5.2%
10	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB	5	1.4	7	4.2%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 4.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs IND	5	Over	5.5	42 (66%)
2026-09-27	3	vs SEA	4	Under	3.5	41 (59%)
2026-02-08	22 (P)	vs SEA	3	Under	4.5	45 (63%)
2026-01-18	20 (P)	vs HOU	4	Under	4.5	36 (55%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	vs LAC	2	Under	2.5	40 (62%)
2026-01-04	18	vs MIA	3	Under	2.5	27 (46%)
2025-12-14	15	vs BUF	3	Under	4.5	26 (50%)
2025-12-01	13	vs NYG	3	Under	3.5	31 (48%)
2025-11-13	11	vs NYJ	9	Over	8.5	46 (69%)
2025-11-02	9	vs ATL	3	Under	3.5	41 (60%)

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: DraftKings, updated 10m ago.