Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 170 players
Derrick Henry RB
BAL vs ATL ·
1.5 Receptions
O +171U -221
- Season avg
- 1.8
- Graph avg
- 1.1
- Graph median
- 1.00–3
- Over the close
- 30%3/10
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 1.5
- Home 35% 7/20 · avg 1.2
- Away 20% 4/20 · avg 0.8
- vs ATL No games
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 0.5 70% 7/10
- O 1.5 Today 30% 3/10
- O 2.5 10% 1/10
- O 3.5 0% 0/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · RBs vs ATL
What ATL allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rush Yds74.0#28
- Yds/Carry4.0#21
- Rush TD0.4#28
- Targets5.7#11
- Rec Yds23.5#30
RBs vs ATL · 2026
Each main RB who faced ATL this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05 |
Alvin Kamara | 5 | 3.0 | +67% |
| Sep 24 |
MarShawn Lloyd | 2 | 2.3 | -14% |
| Sep 20 |
Chuba Hubbard | 2 | 2.7 | -25% |
| Sep 13 |
Jaylen Warren | 5 | 2.7 | +88% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
BAL offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%20.4 yds | 4%11.0 yds | 8%12.3 yds |
| Short | 26%6.9 yds | 25%10.6 yds | 29%5.2 yds |
Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
ATL defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 11%9.8 yds#17 | 2%18.7 yds#7 | 10%10.7 yds#16 |
| Short | 31%6.0 yds#13 | 14%5.7 yds#26 | 31%4.6 yds#31 |
Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Short | 39%12.7 yds | 11%-0.5 yds | 50%6.7 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · BAL 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of BAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zay Flowers WR | 3 | 7.3 | 22 | 29.8% |
| 2 | Mark Andrews TE | 4 | 6.0 | 24 | 23.7% |
| 3 | Rashod Bateman WR | 4 | 3.8 | 15 | 14.3% |
| 4 | Ja'Kobi Lane WR | 1 | 3.0 | 3 | 12.5% |
| 5 | Chris Moore WR | 3 | 2.0 | 6 | 7.9% |
| 6 | Matthew Hibner TE | 3 | 1.7 | 5 | 7.0% |
| 7 | Elijah Sarratt WR | 1 | 2.0 | 2 | 6.9% |
| 8 | Derrick Henry RB | 4 | 1.8 | 7 | 6.6% |
| 9 | Devontez Walker WR | 3 | 1.7 | 5 | 6.3% |
| 10 | Justice Hill RB | 4 | 1.5 | 6 | 5.4% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Receptions | vs 1.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ DAL | 1 | Under | 1.5 | 43 (67%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | @ IND | 1 | Under | 1.5 | 37 (54%) |
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | @ PIT | 0 | Under | 0.5 | 36 (71%) |
| 2025-12-27 | 17 | @ GB | 0 | Under | 0.5 | 48 (63%) |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ CIN | 0 | Under | 1.5 | 15 (37%) |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ CLE | 2 | Over | 1.5 | 33 (54%) |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | @ MIN | 3 | Over | 0.5 | 47 (67%) |
| 2025-10-30 | 9 | @ MIA | 1 | Under | 1.5 | 36 (64%) |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | @ KC | 2 | Over | 0.5 | 21 (38%) |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | @ BUF | 1 | Under | 1.5 | 29 (57%) |
Pick’em lines: Underdog 0.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 6m ago.