NFL Prop Research

JM

Jeremy McNichols RB

WAS vs PHI · Sun Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET

0.5 Receptions

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 70%7/10 Odds imply —

Season avg

0.0

Graph avg

1.7

Graph median

2.00–4

Over the close

57%4/7

2026 per game

Carries5.0▲+2.2

Rush Yds13.0▼-0.8

Rush TD0.0▼-0.1

Targets0.0▼-1.9

Rec0.0▼-1.6

Rec Yds0.0▼-12.2

Snaps12.0▼-8.1

Snap %18.0%▼-14.5

Splits all logged games · over 0.5

• Home 44% 7/16 · avg 1.1
• Away 58% 11/19 · avg 0.9
• vs PHI 80% 4/5 · avg 1.6

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

• O 0.5 Today 70% 7/10
• O 1.5 60% 6/10
• O 2.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs PHI

What PHI allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rush Yds105.5#9
• Yds/Carry4.0#20
• Rush TD0.6#17
• Targets5.5#16
• Rec Yds32.6#15

RBs vs PHI · 2026

Each main RB who faced PHI this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.3

Avg diff %-14%

Beat their average14% (1/7)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 26	DAL Javonte Williams	0	3.2	-100%
Oct 18	CAR Chuba Hubbard	1	2.8	-64%
Oct 11	JAX Bhayshul Tuten	2	2.2	-9%
Oct 04	LA Kyren Williams	10	3.7	+173%
Sep 28	CHI D'Andre Swift	2	3.3	-40%
Sep 20	TEN Tyjae Spears	2	2.6	-23%
Sep 13	WAS Rachaad White	2	3.0	-33%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

WAS offense

WAS offense: Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%11.8 yds	4%16.3 yds	11%5.7 yds
Short	27%6.0 yds	15%6.5 yds	35%5.9 yds

Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PHI defense

PHI defense: Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%8.6 yds#22	4%17.6 yds#8	9%13.4 yds#8
Short	32%6.1 yds#10	19%7.1 yds#18	32%5.4 yds#16

Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	35%8.0 yds	9%6.5 yds	56%5.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · WAS 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of WAS targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Stefon Diggs WR	5	7.6	38	23.4%
2	Terry McLaurin WR	5	5.4	27	18.1%
3	Chig Okonkwo TE	4	5.0	20	16.9%
4	Antonio Williams WR	6	4.3	26	13.8%
5	Treylon Burks WR	5	3.4	17	11.4%
6	Rachaad White RB	5	3.0	15	9.3%
7	Dyami Brown WR	6	2.7	16	8.4%
8	John Bates TE	4	1.5	6	5.2%
9	Austin Ekeler RB	3	1.7	5	5.2%
10	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB	5	1.4	7	4.2%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 0.5	Close	Snaps
2025-12-25	17	vs DAL	3	Over	1.5	18 (41%)
2025-12-20	16	vs PHI	2	Over	1.5	15 (28%)
2025-11-30	13	vs DEN	2	Over	1.5	44 (49%)
2025-11-09	10	vs DET	1	Over	1.5	17 (31%)
2025-11-02	9	vs SEA	0	Under	—	17 (26%)
2025-10-13	6	vs CHI	3	Over	1.5	21 (32%)
2025-09-21	3	vs LV	0	Under	1.5	15 (26%)
2025-09-07	1	vs NYG	0	Under	1.5	13 (19%)
2024-12-29	17	vs ATL	2	Over	—	22 (27%)
2024-12-22	16	vs PHI	4	Over	—	19 (28%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 0.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: Underdog, updated 6m ago.