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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Michael Mayer TE

LV vs NE ·

3.5 Receptions O -107U -119
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 20%2/10 Odds imply 48.8% Over
Season avg
5.0
Graph avg
2.3
Graph median
2.00–7
Over the close
25%2/8
2026 per game
Targets6.0â–²+2.2
Rec5.0â–²+2.3
Rec Yds42.2â–²+17.0
Rec TD0.2â–²+0.2
Snaps60.8â–²+25.0
Snap %85.0%â–²+23.2
Michael Mayer receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 3.5.
  1. 2024
    7
  2. 1
  3. 2025
    4
  4. 0
  5. 1
  6. 3
  7. 0
  8. 1
  9. 2026
    3
  10. 3
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

  • Home 36% 5/14 · avg 3.4
  • Away 14% 2/14 · avg 2.0
  • vs NE 100% 1/1 · avg 4.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 1.5 50% 5/10
  • O 2.5 50% 5/10
  • O 3.5 Today 20% 2/10
  • O 4.5 10% 1/10
  • O 5.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs NE

What NE allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds35.2#30
  • Receptions3.9#29
  • Targets5.5#29
  • Yds/Target6.4#22
  • Rec TD0.1#31

TEs vs NE · 2026

Each main TE who faced NE this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.0
Avg diff %-23%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Dalton Kincaid14.7-79%
Sep 27 Brenton Strange33.7-18%
Sep 20 Pat Freiermuth43.3+20%
Sep 09 AJ Barner22.3-14%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LV offense

LV offense: Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%13.4 yds3%5.3 yds6%8.0 yds
Short28%6.1 yds19%6.3 yds36%5.6 yds

Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NE defense

NE defense: Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%4.0 yds#324%10.5 yds#285%9.4 yds#24
Short31%5.3 yds#2417%7.0 yds#1637%4.2 yds#32

Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep2%21.0 yds0% 6%7.7 yds
Short22%3.5 yds29%10.0 yds41%6.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · LV 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of LV targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Brock Bowers TE212.02433.1%
2Ashton Jeanty RB46.02417.9%
3Michael Mayer TE46.02417.2%
4Tre Tucker WR45.82317.0%
5Jalen Nailor WR33.71112.5%
6Jack Bech WR23.0610.3%
7Cody White WR42.5107.2%
8Ian Thomas TE21.533.8%
9Malik Benson WR41.043.4%
10Dareke Young WR40.831.9%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 3.5CloseSnaps
2026-09-273@ NO3Under2.561 (87%)
2026-09-202@ LAC3Under5.553 (84%)
2025-12-2116@ HOU1Under1.536 (67%)
2025-12-1415@ PHI0Under0.58 (19%)
2025-11-0610@ DEN3Under3.537 (62%)
2025-10-197@ KC1Under4.533 (94%)
2025-09-213@ WAS0Under1.55 (8%)
2025-09-071@ NE4Over1.540 (63%)
2024-12-2917@ NO1Under—58 (75%)
2024-12-0814@ TB7Over—54 (81%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 3.5Underdog 3.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 17m ago.