Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 170 players
Zay Flowers WR
BAL vs ATL ·
5.5 Receptions
O -106U -121
- Season avg
- 6.0
- Graph avg
- 5.7
- Graph median
- 6.52–8
- Over the close
- 80%8/10
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 5.5
- Home 44% 8/18 · avg 5.1
- Away 32% 6/19 · avg 4.5
- vs ATL No games
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 3.5 80% 8/10
- O 4.5 80% 8/10
- O 5.5 Today 60% 6/10
- O 6.5 50% 5/10
- O 7.5 20% 2/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · WRs vs ATL
What ATL allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rec Yds170.1#6
- Receptions12.9#5
- Targets22.1#1
- Yds/Target7.7#21
- Rec TD1.1#6
WRs vs ATL · 2026
Each main WR who faced ATL this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05 |
Chris Olave | 8 | 9.0 | -11% |
| Oct 05 |
Devaughn Vele | 6 | 5.0 | +20% |
| Sep 24 |
Christian Watson | 7 | 4.3 | +62% |
| Sep 24 |
Matthew Golden | 5 | 4.3 | +15% |
| Sep 20 |
Tetairoa McMillan | 5 | 7.0 | -29% |
| Sep 20 |
Jalen Coker | 8 | 5.0 | +60% |
| Sep 13 |
DK Metcalf | 4 | 4.0 | +0% |
| Sep 13 |
Roman Wilson | 3 | 3.7 | -18% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
BAL offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%20.4 yds | 4%11.0 yds | 8%12.3 yds |
| Short | 26%6.9 yds | 25%10.6 yds | 29%5.2 yds |
Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
ATL defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 11%9.8 yds#17 | 2%18.7 yds#7 | 10%10.7 yds#16 |
| Short | 31%6.0 yds#13 | 14%5.7 yds#26 | 31%4.6 yds#31 |
Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%32.2 yds | 9%12.8 yds | 13%20.1 yds |
| Short | 22%7.3 yds | 22%17.2 yds | 28%3.8 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · BAL 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of BAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zay Flowers WR | 3 | 7.3 | 22 | 29.8% |
| 2 | Mark Andrews TE | 4 | 6.0 | 24 | 23.7% |
| 3 | Rashod Bateman WR | 4 | 3.8 | 15 | 14.3% |
| 4 | Ja'Kobi Lane WR | 1 | 3.0 | 3 | 12.5% |
| 5 | Chris Moore WR | 3 | 2.0 | 6 | 7.9% |
| 6 | Matthew Hibner TE | 3 | 1.7 | 5 | 7.0% |
| 7 | Elijah Sarratt WR | 1 | 2.0 | 2 | 6.9% |
| 8 | Derrick Henry RB | 4 | 1.8 | 7 | 6.6% |
| 9 | Devontez Walker WR | 3 | 1.7 | 5 | 6.3% |
| 10 | Justice Hill RB | 4 | 1.5 | 6 | 5.4% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Receptions | vs 5.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | vs TEN | 8 | Over | 5.5 | 47 (73%) |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | vs NE | 7 | Over | 6.5 | 49 (89%) |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs PIT | 8 | Over | 4.5 | 74 (92%) |
| 2025-11-27 | 13 | vs CIN | 2 | Under | 2.5 | 57 (95%) |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | vs NYJ | 5 | Under | 3.5 | 53 (84%) |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | vs CHI | 7 | Over | 4.5 | 59 (95%) |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | vs LA | 6 | Over | 4.5 | 71 (91%) |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | vs HOU | 5 | Under | 4.5 | 36 (84%) |
| 2025-09-22 | 3 | vs DET | 2 | Under | 3.5 | 49 (86%) |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs CLE | 7 | Over | 4.5 | 44 (79%) |
Pick’em lines: Underdog 4.5PrizePicks 5.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.