Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players
Jaylen Warren RB
PIT vs IND ·
2.5 Receptions
O -136U +106
- Season avg
- 3.2
- Graph avg
- 2.7
- Graph median
- 3.00–5
- Over the close
- 30%3/10
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 2.5
- Home 39% 7/18 · avg 2.6
- Away 47% 9/19 · avg 2.6
- vs IND 0% 0/1 · avg 2.0
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 0.5 90% 9/10
- O 1.5 80% 8/10
- O 2.5 Today 60% 6/10
- O 3.5 20% 2/10
- O 4.5 20% 2/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · RBs vs IND
What IND allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rush Yds97.0#16
- Yds/Carry4.2#20
- Rush TD0.7#16
- Targets4.8#24
- Rec Yds24.9#26
RBs vs IND · 2026
Each main RB who faced IND this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 |
Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 2 | 1.0 | +100% |
| Sep 27 |
Woody Marks | 1 | 2.0 | -50% |
| Sep 20 |
Kenneth Walker III | 6 | 2.0 | +200% |
| Sep 13 |
Derrick Henry | 1 | 2.0 | -50% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
PIT offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%8.8 yds | 4%14.4 yds | 9%7.4 yds |
| Short | 28%5.0 yds | 18%7.8 yds | 34%5.0 yds |
Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
IND defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%12.5 yds#10 | 3%12.3 yds#24 | 10%11.7 yds#13 |
| Short | 27%6.2 yds#10 | 20%9.0 yds#4 | 33%6.0 yds#7 |
Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Short | 32%3.2 yds | 16%13.0 yds | 53%7.2 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · PIT 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of PIT targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DK Metcalf WR | 4 | 8.2 | 33 | 22.6% |
| 2 | Roman Wilson WR | 4 | 6.0 | 24 | 16.8% |
| 3 | Jaylen Warren RB | 4 | 5.0 | 20 | 13.8% |
| 4 | Pat Freiermuth TE | 4 | 4.8 | 19 | 13.2% |
| 5 | Michael Pittman WR | 3 | 4.0 | 12 | 11.5% |
| 6 | Germie Bernard WR | 3 | 3.7 | 11 | 10.0% |
| 7 | Rico Dowdle RB | 2 | 3.5 | 7 | 9.5% |
| 8 | Darnell Washington TE | 4 | 3.2 | 13 | 9.1% |
| 9 | Ben Skowronek WR | 3 | 1.3 | 4 | 3.7% |
| 10 | Robert Tonyan TE | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 3.2% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Receptions | vs 2.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 4 | @ CLE | 3 | Over | 3.5 | 70 (97%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | vs CIN | 3 | Over | 4.5 | 56 (90%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | @ NE | 2 | Under | 3.5 | 50 (71%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | vs ATL | 5 | Over | 2.5 | 25 (37%) |
| 2026-01-12 | 19 (P) | vs HOU | 1 | Under | 1.5 | 26 (46%) |
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs BAL | 5 | Over | 5.5 | 28 (37%) |
| 2025-12-28 | 17 | @ CLE | 0 | Under | 0.5 | 21 (32%) |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ DET | 2 | Under | 2.5 | 36 (49%) |
| 2025-12-15 | 15 | vs MIA | 3 | Over | 2.5 | 30 (45%) |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | @ BAL | 3 | Over | 1.5 | 26 (50%) |
Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 10m ago.