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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 170 players

DK Metcalf WR

PIT vs IND ·

4.5 Receptions O +117U -149
Hit rate · Last 10 30%3/10 Odds imply 43.5% Over
Season avg
4.0
Graph avg
4.0
Graph median
4.02–7
Over the close
40%4/10
2026 per game
Targets8.2â–²+1.8
Rec4.0â–²+0.2
Rec Yds53.2â–¼-2.5
Rec TD0.2â–¼-0.1
Snaps65.2â–²+13.7
Snap %96.2%â–²+9.1
DK Metcalf receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.
  1. 2025
    5
  2. 3
  3. 7
  4. 3
  5. 4
  6. 2
  7. 2026
    4
  8. 4
  9. 3
  10. 5
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

  • Home 17% 3/18 · avg 3.5
  • Away 35% 6/17 · avg 4.7
  • vs IND 0% 0/1 · avg 2.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 2.5 90% 9/10
  • O 3.5 60% 6/10
  • O 4.5 Today 30% 3/10
  • O 5.5 10% 1/10
  • O 6.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs IND

What IND allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds179.9#3
  • Receptions12.3#7
  • Targets19.6#7
  • Yds/Target9.2#6
  • Rec TD0.9#15

WRs vs IND · 2026

Each main WR who faced IND this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.4
Avg diff %-8%
Beat their average25% (2/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Stefon Diggs54.3+15%
Oct 04 Antonio Williams33.0+0%
Sep 27 Xavier Hutchinson33.0+0%
Sep 27 Kayshon Boutte22.3-14%
Sep 20 Rashee Rice44.5-11%
Sep 20 Xavier Worthy53.0+67%
Sep 13 Zay Flowers56.5-23%
Sep 13 Rashod Bateman03.7-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

PIT offense

PIT offense: Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%8.8 yds4%14.4 yds9%7.4 yds
Short28%5.0 yds18%7.8 yds34%5.0 yds

Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

IND defense

IND defense: Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%12.5 yds#103%12.3 yds#2410%11.7 yds#13
Short27%6.2 yds#1020%9.0 yds#433%6.0 yds#7

Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep17%8.5 yds5%5.5 yds12%13.7 yds
Short27%4.8 yds11%8.9 yds28%6.3 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · PIT 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of PIT targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1DK Metcalf WR48.23322.6%
2Roman Wilson WR46.02416.8%
3Jaylen Warren RB45.02013.8%
4Pat Freiermuth TE44.81913.2%
5Michael Pittman WR34.01211.5%
6Germie Bernard WR33.71110.0%
7Rico Dowdle RB23.579.5%
8Darnell Washington TE43.2139.1%
9Ben Skowronek WR31.343.7%
10Robert Tonyan TE11.013.2%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 4.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-014@ CLE5Over3.570 (97%)
2026-09-273vs CIN3Under4.559 (95%)
2026-09-202@ NE4Under4.568 (97%)
2026-09-131vs ATL4Under3.564 (96%)
2026-01-1219 (P)vs HOU2Under2.549 (86%)
2025-12-2116@ DET4Under4.565 (88%)
2025-12-1515vs MIA3Under3.552 (79%)
2025-12-0714@ BAL7Over3.543 (83%)
2025-11-3013vs BUF3Under3.537 (86%)
2025-11-2312@ CHI5Over3.561 (85%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 4Underdog 4.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.