Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 170 players
Dalton Kincaid TE
BUF vs LAR ·
4.5 Receptions
O +121U -155
- Season avg
- 3.8
- Graph avg
- 3.0
- Graph median
- 3.00–6
- Over the close
- 38%3/8
-
2024
-
-
2025
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
2026
-
Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 4.5
- Home 22% 4/18 · avg 3.3
- Away 25% 4/16 · avg 3.3
- vs LAR No games
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 2.5 60% 6/10
- O 3.5 40% 4/10
- O 4.5 Today 20% 2/10
- O 5.5 10% 1/10
- O 6.5 0% 0/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · TEs vs LAR
What LAR allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rec Yds38.5#27
- Receptions4.3#24
- Targets7.3#17
- Yds/Target5.3#31
- Rec TD0.4#16
TEs vs LAR · 2026
Each main TE who faced LAR this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 |
Johnny Mundt | 0 | 1.5 | -100% |
| Sep 27 |
Evan Engram | 0 | 2.0 | -100% |
| Sep 21 |
Isaiah Likely | 5 | 5.7 | -12% |
| Sep 10 |
George Kittle | 2 | 4.7 | -57% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
BUF offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%6.4 yds | 7%18.7 yds | 7%16.8 yds |
| Short | 29%7.2 yds | 13%7.3 yds | 37%5.8 yds |
Share of BUF pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
LAR defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%10.0 yds#16 | 4%16.3 yds#14 | 8%6.9 yds#30 |
| Short | 31%6.0 yds#11 | 20%4.6 yds#31 | 30%5.8 yds#12 |
Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%6.0 yds | 12%13.0 yds | 9%19.5 yds |
| Short | 33%13.1 yds | 19%9.0 yds | 21%9.8 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · BUF 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of BUF targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khalil Shakir WR | 4 | 5.8 | 23 | 20.3% |
| 2 | DJ Moore WR | 4 | 5.0 | 20 | 18.4% |
| 3 | Dalton Kincaid TE | 4 | 4.8 | 19 | 17.1% |
| 4 | Keon Coleman WR | 4 | 4.0 | 16 | 14.0% |
| 5 | Ty Johnson RB | 2 | 3.0 | 6 | 11.0% |
| 6 | Josh Palmer WR | 3 | 3.0 | 9 | 10.4% |
| 7 | James Cook RB | 4 | 2.5 | 10 | 8.9% |
| 8 | Dawson Knox TE | 4 | 1.5 | 6 | 5.3% |
| 9 | Jackson Hawes TE | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 3.8% |
| 10 | Ray Davis RB | 3 | 0.3 | 1 | 1.1% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Receptions | vs 4.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | @ HOU | 5 | Over | 3.5 | 42 (72%) |
| 2026-01-17 | 20 (P) | @ DEN | 6 | Over | 3.5 | 38 (49%) |
| 2026-01-11 | 19 (P) | @ JAX | 3 | Under | 3.5 | 28 (44%) |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ CLE | 0 | Under | 0.5 | 19 (38%) |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ NE | 3 | Under | 3.5 | 25 (36%) |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | @ MIA | 2 | Under | 4.5 | 18 (26%) |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | @ CAR | 1 | Under | 1.5 | 14 (22%) |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | @ NYJ | 4 | Under | 3.5 | 36 (48%) |
| 2025-01-26 | 21 (P) | @ KC | 2 | Under | — | 33 (45%) |
| 2024-12-15 | 15 | @ DET | 4 | Under | — | 34 (49%) |
Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 4
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 14m ago.