NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

RJ Harvey RB

DEN vs ARI · Sun Oct 25 · 4:05 PM ET

24.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs ARI — Odds imply —

Season avg: 32.6
Graph avg: —

2026 per game

Carries4.2▼-4.5

Rush Yds16.2▼-15.2

Rush TD0.2▼-0.2

Targets5.2▲+1.5

Rec4.6▲+1.7

Rec Yds32.6▲+10.3

Snaps25.2▼-4.1

Snap %41.6%▼-2.1

No games vs ARI in this range.

Splits all logged games · over 24.5

Home 38% 5/13 · avg 22.4
Away 46% 5/11 · avg 26.9
vs ARI No games

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs ARI

What ARI allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds116.5#1
Yds/Carry4.4#9
Rush TD0.7#10
Targets5.9#11
Rec Yds38.2#6

RBs vs ARI · 2026

Each main RB who faced ARI this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-13.5

Avg diff %-63%

Beat their average17% (1/6)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 18	Kyren Williams	17	40.0	-58%
Oct 11	Jahmyr Gibbs	56	46.8	+20%
Oct 04	Cam Skattebo	8	17.8	-55%
Sep 27	Kyle Juszczyk	0	27.5	-100%
Sep 20	George Holani	2	14.8	-86%
Sep 13	Alec Ingold	0	17.5	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

DEN offense

DEN offense: Share of DEN pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%13.5 yds	2%9.8 yds	5%8.0 yds
Short	36%5.3 yds	10%3.8 yds	40%4.2 yds

Share of DEN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ARI defense

ARI defense: Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%12.4 yds#10	3%14.2 yds#18	10%10.3 yds#19
Short	30%6.3 yds#8	19%9.0 yds#2	32%7.3 yds#2

Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	2%0.0 yds
Short	38%6.8 yds	11%4.0 yds	49%6.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of DEN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Jaylen Waddle WR	6	6.3	38	22.6%
2	RJ Harvey RB	5	5.2	26	17.0%
3	Courtland Sutton WR	6	4.7	28	16.1%
4	Evan Engram TE	6	3.2	19	11.3%
5	Pat Bryant WR	4	3.0	12	10.0%
6	Marvin Mims Jr. WR	4	2.2	9	8.4%
7	Adam Trautman TE	2	2.0	4	6.9%
8	Lil'Jordan Humphrey WR	2	1.5	3	6.3%
9	J.K. Dobbins RB	6	1.5	9	5.6%
10	Nate Adkins TE	3	1.7	5	5.6%

Game log · 0 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 24.5	Close	Snaps

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 24.5Underdog 24.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 6m ago.