Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players
Chase Brown RB
CIN vs MIA ·
19.5 Rec Yds
- Season avg
- 25.8
- Graph avg
- 28.8
- Graph median
- 28.52–71
- Over the close
- 30%3/10
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 19.5
- Home 58% 11/19 · avg 25.6
- Away 39% 7/18 · avg 22.9
- vs MIA 100% 1/1 · avg 43.0
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 9.5 80% 8/10
- O 14.5 70% 7/10
- O 19.5 Today 60% 6/10
- O 24.5 50% 5/10
- O 29.5 50% 5/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · RBs vs MIA
What MIA allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rush Yds98.0#14
- Yds/Carry4.3#18
- Rush TD1.0#7
- Targets5.7#10
- Rec Yds36.8#8
RBs vs MIA · 2026
Each main RB who faced MIA this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 |
Aaron Jones | 34 | 11.3 | +200% |
| Sep 27 |
Kenneth Walker III | 3 | 27.0 | -89% |
| Sep 20 |
Christian McCaffrey | 43 | 26.3 | +63% |
| Sep 13 |
Ashton Jeanty | 45 | 40.0 | +12% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
CIN offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 4%13.4 yds | 3%14.9 yds | 7%11.7 yds |
| Short | 32%5.5 yds | 20%8.2 yds | 34%6.2 yds |
Share of CIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
MIA defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%12.1 yds#11 | 4%14.5 yds#19 | 8%11.2 yds#14 |
| Short | 29%6.5 yds#6 | 15%8.6 yds#5 | 37%6.3 yds#6 |
Throws MIA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 0% | 0% | 2%0.0 yds |
| Short | 44%3.7 yds | 16%9.3 yds | 38%5.2 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · CIN 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of CIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tee Higgins WR | 4 | 9.8 | 39 | 24.8% |
| 2 | Ja'Marr Chase WR | 4 | 7.0 | 28 | 19.7% |
| 3 | Chase Brown RB | 4 | 6.0 | 24 | 15.0% |
| 4 | Mitchell Tinsley WR | 1 | 7.0 | 7 | 13.2% |
| 5 | Mike Gesicki TE | 3 | 5.0 | 15 | 12.7% |
| 6 | Erick All TE | 1 | 3.0 | 3 | 9.7% |
| 7 | Dohnte Meyers WR | 4 | 4.0 | 16 | 9.2% |
| 8 | Drew Sample TE | 2 | 2.5 | 5 | 7.1% |
| 9 | Andrei Iosivas WR | 2 | 2.0 | 4 | 6.0% |
| 10 | Samaje Perine RB | 4 | 2.0 | 8 | 5.5% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Rec Yds | vs 19.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | vs JAX | 71 | Over | 19.5 | 60 (79%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ PIT | 8 | Under | 21.5 | 40 (70%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | @ HOU | 2 | Under | 19.5 | 42 (70%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | vs TB | 22 | Over | 23.5 | 46 (72%) |
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs CLE | 18 | Under | 19.5 | 38 (56%) |
| 2025-12-28 | 17 | vs ARI | 40 | Over | 40.5 | 47 (61%) |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ MIA | 43 | Over | 21.5 | 37 (61%) |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | vs BAL | 37 | Over | 22.5 | 47 (62%) |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | @ BUF | 12 | Under | 15.5 | 40 (67%) |
| 2025-11-27 | 13 | @ BAL | 35 | Over | 35.5 | 50 (60%) |
Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 19.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 10m ago.