NFL Prop Research

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Adonai Mitchell WR

NYJ vs LV · Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET

21.5 Rec Yds O -111U -113

BookBetMGM · 21.5Caesars · 21.5DraftKings · 21.5FanDuel · 21.5Fanatics · 20.5ESPN BET · 19.5Bally Bet · 23.5

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 50%5/10 Odds imply 49.8% Over

Season avg

41.0

Graph avg

32.4

Graph median

26.00–96

Over the close

56%5/9

2026 per game

Targets6.0▲+1.4

Rec3.0▲+0.9

Rec Yds41.0▲+12.7

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps44.3▲+13.2

Snap %65.0%▲+14.4

Splits all logged games · over 21.5

• Home 41% 7/17 · avg 23.6
• Away 53% 10/19 · avg 25.6
• vs LV 0% 0/1 · avg 0.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

• O 11.5 50% 5/10
• O 16.5 50% 5/10
• O 21.5 Today 50% 5/10
• O 26.5 50% 5/10
• O 31.5 50% 5/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs LV

What LV allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds142.3#15
• Receptions9.8#28
• Targets16.8#25
• Yds/Target8.5#11
• Rec TD0.8#16

WRs vs LV · 2026

Each main WR who faced LV this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+9.4

Avg diff %+31%

Beat their average57% (8/14)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 25	LA Puka Nacua	68	104.2	-35%
Oct 25	LA Konata Mumpfield	15	25.4	-41%
Oct 18	BUF Khalil Shakir	34	51.2	-34%
Oct 18	BUF Keon Coleman	59	44.8	+32%
Oct 11	NE Romeo Doubs	16	49.0	-67%
Oct 11	NE DeMario Douglas	65	31.8	+104%
Oct 04	KC Tyquan Thornton	111	36.0	+208%
Oct 04	KC Xavier Worthy	70	29.4	+138%
Sep 27	NO Chris Olave	107	88.2	+21%
Sep 27	NO Devaughn Vele	39	51.5	-24%
Sep 20	LAC Tre Harris	53	43.0	+23%
Sep 20	LAC Ladd McConkey	35	41.2	-15%
Sep 13	MIA Malik Washington	53	47.2	+12%
Sep 13	MIA Caleb Douglas	94	44.5	+111%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYJ offense

NYJ offense: Share of NYJ pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%13.4 yds	2%26.4 yds	5%15.2 yds
Short	33%5.6 yds	11%5.0 yds	43%5.3 yds

Share of NYJ pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LV defense

LV defense: Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.5 yds#7	4%10.8 yds#29	7%10.4 yds#17
Short	32%5.7 yds#16	15%6.6 yds#21	33%5.8 yds#11

Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	17%6.5 yds	1%16.0 yds	14%10.3 yds
Short	39%5.7 yds	1%2.0 yds	27%3.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · NYJ 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYJ targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Garrett Wilson WR	7	7.3	51	25.9%
2	Adonai Mitchell WR	3	6.0	18	18.9%
3	Mason Taylor TE	4	4.5	18	16.2%
4	Omar Cooper Jr. WR	3	4.3	13	15.2%
5	Kenyon Sadiq TE	7	3.6	25	13.5%
6	Braelon Allen RB	7	2.9	20	10.5%
7	Breece Hall RB	3	3.3	10	10.3%
8	Tim Patrick WR	2	3.0	6	10.3%
9	Isaiah Williams WR	7	2.0	14	7.6%
10	Jeremy Ruckert TE	4	2.0	8	5.9%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 21.5	Close	Snaps
2026-09-13	1	@ TEN	60	Over	34.5	46 (69%)
2026-01-04	18	@ BUF	0	Under	13.5	25 (52%)
2025-12-21	16	@ NO	43	Over	17.5	57 (86%)
2025-12-14	15	@ JAX	58	Over	30.5	54 (79%)
2025-11-23	12	@ BAL	42	Over	36.5	50 (85%)
2025-11-13	11	@ NE	10	Under	10.5	28 (49%)
2025-11-02	9	@ PIT	7	Under	—	4 (5%)
2025-10-19	7	@ LAC	8	Under	10.5	5 (8%)
2025-09-28	4	@ LA	96	Over	85.5	54 (89%)
2025-09-21	3	@ TEN	0	Under	9.5	24 (42%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 21.5Underdog 24.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: DraftKings, updated 17m ago.