NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Stefon Diggs WR

WAS vs PHI · Sun Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET

42.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs PHI 100%1/1 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 42.8
Graph avg: 55.0
Graph median: 55.055–55
Over the close: 100%1/1

2026 per game

Targets7.6▲+1.8

Rec4.8▲+0.1

Rec Yds42.8▼-10.7

Rec TD0.8▲+0.6

Snaps40.8▲+5.7

Snap %60.0%▲+5.7

42.5

2026

55

Sep 13
?

Nov 02

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 42.5

Home 39% 7/18 · avg 47.9
Away 62% 10/16 · avg 60.6
vs PHI 100% 1/1 · avg 55.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 32.5 100% 1/1
O 37.5 100% 1/1
O 42.5 Today 100% 1/1
O 47.5 100% 1/1
O 52.5 100% 1/1

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs PHI

What PHI allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds171.7#6
Receptions11.9#11
Targets19.7#9
Yds/Target8.7#8
Rec TD1.0#6

WRs vs PHI · 2026

Each main WR who faced PHI this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-5.3

Avg diff %-8%

Beat their average36% (5/14)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 26	CeeDee Lamb	74	96.2	-23%
Oct 26	George Pickens	57	71.3	-20%
Oct 18	Tetairoa McMillan	86	85.0	+1%
Oct 18	Jalen Coker	97	57.8	+68%
Oct 11	Parker Washington	124	58.4	+112%
Oct 11	Jakobi Meyers	37	49.6	-25%
Oct 04	Puka Nacua	125	90.0	+39%
Oct 04	Davante Adams	32	89.6	-64%
Sep 28	Luther Burden III	61	71.7	-15%
Sep 28	Rome Odunze	44	56.2	-22%
Sep 20	Carnell Tate	27	64.3	-58%
Sep 20	Wan'Dale Robinson	9	32.7	-72%
Sep 13	Terry McLaurin	14	54.0	-74%
Sep 13	Stefon Diggs	55	39.8	+38%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

WAS offense

WAS offense: Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%11.8 yds	4%16.3 yds	11%5.7 yds
Short	27%6.0 yds	15%6.5 yds	35%5.9 yds

Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PHI defense

PHI defense: Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%8.6 yds#22	4%17.6 yds#8	9%13.4 yds#8
Short	32%6.1 yds#10	19%7.1 yds#18	32%5.4 yds#16

Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	2%0.0 yds	3%13.0 yds	10%9.0 yds
Short	33%4.7 yds	26%5.5 yds	26%6.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of WAS targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Stefon Diggs WR	5	7.6	38	23.4%
2	Terry McLaurin WR	5	5.4	27	18.1%
3	Chig Okonkwo TE	4	5.0	20	16.9%
4	Antonio Williams WR	6	4.3	26	13.8%
5	Treylon Burks WR	5	3.4	17	11.4%
6	Rachaad White RB	5	3.0	15	9.3%
7	Dyami Brown WR	6	2.7	16	8.4%
8	John Bates TE	4	1.5	6	5.2%
9	Austin Ekeler RB	3	1.7	5	5.2%
10	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB	5	1.4	7	4.2%

Game log · 1 game

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 42.5	Close	Snaps
2026-09-13	1	@ PHI	55	Over	42.5	44 (63%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 39.5PrizePicks 42.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: FanDuel, updated 16m ago.