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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Derrick Henry RB

BAL vs ATL ·

4.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 70%7/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
11.0
Graph avg
11.6
Graph median
7.50–44
Over the close
50%5/10
2026 per game
Carries22.2â–²+4.2
Rush Yds93.5â–¼-0.3
Rush TD1.8â–²+0.8
Targets1.8â–²+0.5
Rec1.8â–²+0.9
Rec Yds11.0â–²+2.2
Snaps37.8â–²+5.1
Snap %59.0%â–²+4.5
Derrick Henry receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.
  1. 2025
    7
  2. 0
  3. 8
  4. 0
  5. 24
  6. 44
  7. 8
  8. 0
  9. 2026
    19
  10. 6
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

  • Home 65% 13/20 · avg 12.3
  • Away 40% 8/20 · avg 7.0
  • vs ATL No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 4.5 Today 70% 7/10
  • O 9.5 30% 3/10
  • O 14.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs ATL

What ATL allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds74.0#28
  • Yds/Carry4.0#21
  • Rush TD0.4#28
  • Targets5.7#11
  • Rec Yds23.5#30

RBs vs ATL · 2026

Each main RB who faced ATL this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.7
Avg diff %+87%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 05 Alvin Kamara356.0+483%
Sep 24 MarShawn Lloyd714.0-50%
Sep 20 Chuba Hubbard1124.3-55%
Sep 13 Jaylen Warren2738.7-30%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

BAL offense

BAL offense: Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%20.4 yds4%11.0 yds8%12.3 yds
Short26%6.9 yds25%10.6 yds29%5.2 yds

Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ATL defense

ATL defense: Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep11%9.8 yds#172%18.7 yds#710%10.7 yds#16
Short31%6.0 yds#1314%5.7 yds#2631%4.6 yds#31

Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 0% 0% 
Short39%12.7 yds11%-0.5 yds50%6.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · BAL 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of BAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Zay Flowers WR37.32229.8%
2Mark Andrews TE46.02423.7%
3Rashod Bateman WR43.81514.3%
4Ja'Kobi Lane WR13.0312.5%
5Chris Moore WR32.067.9%
6Matthew Hibner TE31.757.0%
7Elijah Sarratt WR12.026.9%
8Derrick Henry RB41.876.6%
9Devontez Walker WR31.756.3%
10Justice Hill RB41.565.4%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 4.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs TEN6Over7.540 (62%)
2026-09-202vs NO19Over6.531 (53%)
2025-12-2116vs NE0Under0.524 (44%)
2025-12-0714vs PIT8Over0.543 (54%)
2025-11-2713vs CIN44Over45.524 (40%)
2025-11-2312vs NYJ24Over5.535 (56%)
2025-10-268vs CHI0Under4.536 (58%)
2025-10-126vs LA8Over5.538 (49%)
2025-10-055vs HOU0Under0.528 (65%)
2025-09-223vs DET7Over4.528 (49%)

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 6m ago.