NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Dawson Knox TE

BUF vs LAR ·

10.5 Rec Yds O -113U -111
Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 70%7/10 Odds imply 50.2% Over
Season avg
7.5
Graph avg
23.8
Graph median
19.00–93
Over the close
33%3/9
2026 per game
Targets1.5â–¼-1.7
Rec1.5â–¼-0.8
Rec Yds7.5â–¼-19.1
Rec TD0.2+0.0
Snaps44.2â–²+5.3
Snap %68.5%â–²+10.2
Dawson Knox receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 10.5.
  1. 2025
    0
  2. 15
  3. 30
  4. 23
  5. 93
  6. 30
  7. 24
  8. 2026
    5
  9. 5
  10. 13
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 10.5

  • Home 62% 13/21 · avg 21.8
  • Away 72% 13/18 · avg 22.6
  • vs LAR 0% 0/1 · avg 5.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 90% 9/10
  • O 5.5 70% 7/10
  • O 10.5 Today 70% 7/10
  • O 15.5 50% 5/10
  • O 20.5 50% 5/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs LAR

What LAR allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds38.5#27
  • Receptions4.3#24
  • Targets7.3#17
  • Yds/Target5.3#31
  • Rec TD0.4#16

TEs vs LAR · 2026

Each main TE who faced LAR this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-28.2
Avg diff %-80%
Beat their average0% (0/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Johnny Mundt06.0-100%
Sep 27 Evan Engram022.0-100%
Sep 21 Isaiah Likely3352.3-37%
Sep 10 George Kittle1277.3-84%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

BUF offense

BUF offense: Share of BUF pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%6.4 yds7%18.7 yds7%16.8 yds
Short29%7.2 yds13%7.3 yds37%5.8 yds

Share of BUF pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LAR defense

LAR defense: Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%10.0 yds#164%16.3 yds#148%6.9 yds#30
Short31%6.0 yds#1120%4.6 yds#3130%5.8 yds#12

Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%0.0 yds4%24.0 yds4%17.0 yds
Short26%6.1 yds15%7.2 yds48%6.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · BUF 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of BUF targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Khalil Shakir WR45.82320.3%
2DJ Moore WR45.02018.4%
3Dalton Kincaid TE44.81917.1%
4Keon Coleman WR44.01614.0%
5Ty Johnson RB23.0611.0%
6Josh Palmer WR33.0910.4%
7James Cook RB42.5108.9%
8Dawson Knox TE41.565.3%
9Jackson Hawes TE11.013.8%
10Ray Davis RB30.311.1%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 10.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs NE13Over9.536 (61%)
2026-09-273vs LAC5Under9.546 (70%)
2026-09-172vs DET5Under12.556 (76%)
2026-01-0418vs NYJ24Over—4 (5%)
2025-12-2817vs PHI30Over28.548 (63%)
2025-12-0714vs CIN93Over52.535 (55%)
2025-11-1611vs TB23Over25.543 (77%)
2025-11-029vs KC30Over30.532 (48%)
2025-10-055vs NE15Over15.538 (56%)
2025-09-284vs NO0Under11.524 (41%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 9.5PrizePicks 10.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 12m ago.