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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Zay Flowers WR

BAL vs ATL ·

68.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 50%5/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
117.3
Graph avg
65.9
Graph median
67.56–124
Over the close
60%6/10
2026 per game
Targets7.3â–²+0.4
Rec6.0â–²+0.9
Rec Yds117.3â–²+46.1
Rec TD0.7â–²+0.4
Snaps29.3â–¼-22.3
Snap %45.0%â–¼-41.5
Zay Flowers receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 68.5.
  1. 2025
    75
  2. 13
  3. 72
  4. 46
  5. 63
  6. 58
  7. 6
  8. 124
  9. 84
  10. 2026
    118
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 68.5

  • Home 56% 10/18 · avg 68.8
  • Away 47% 9/19 · avg 72.8
  • vs ATL No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 48.5 70% 7/10
  • O 58.5 60% 6/10
  • O 68.5 Today 50% 5/10
  • O 78.5 30% 3/10
  • O 88.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs ATL

What ATL allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds170.1#6
  • Receptions12.9#5
  • Targets22.1#1
  • Yds/Target7.7#21
  • Rec TD1.1#6

WRs vs ATL · 2026

Each main WR who faced ATL this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.5
Avg diff %-1%
Beat their average38% (3/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 05 Chris Olave116125.0-7%
Oct 05 Devaughn Vele5457.3-6%
Sep 24 Christian Watson9678.3+23%
Sep 24 Matthew Golden10058.0+72%
Sep 20 Tetairoa McMillan10194.7+7%
Sep 20 Jalen Coker6678.0-15%
Sep 13 DK Metcalf4057.7-31%
Sep 13 Roman Wilson2654.0-52%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

BAL offense

BAL offense: Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%20.4 yds4%11.0 yds8%12.3 yds
Short26%6.9 yds25%10.6 yds29%5.2 yds

Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ATL defense

ATL defense: Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep11%9.8 yds#172%18.7 yds#710%10.7 yds#16
Short31%6.0 yds#1314%5.7 yds#2631%4.6 yds#31

Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%32.2 yds9%12.8 yds13%20.1 yds
Short22%7.3 yds22%17.2 yds28%3.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · BAL 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of BAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Zay Flowers WR37.32229.8%
2Mark Andrews TE46.02423.7%
3Rashod Bateman WR43.81514.3%
4Ja'Kobi Lane WR13.0312.5%
5Chris Moore WR32.067.9%
6Matthew Hibner TE31.757.0%
7Elijah Sarratt WR12.026.9%
8Derrick Henry RB41.876.6%
9Devontez Walker WR31.756.3%
10Justice Hill RB41.565.4%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 68.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs TEN118Over72.547 (73%)
2025-12-2116vs NE84Over79.549 (89%)
2025-12-0714vs PIT124Over90.574 (92%)
2025-11-2713vs CIN6Under5.557 (95%)
2025-11-2312vs NYJ58Under66.553 (84%)
2025-10-268vs CHI63Under57.559 (95%)
2025-10-126vs LA46Under46.571 (91%)
2025-10-055vs HOU72Over47.536 (84%)
2025-09-223vs DET13Under30.549 (86%)
2025-09-142vs CLE75Over75.544 (79%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 69.5Underdog 69.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 10m ago.