Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players
Jaylen Warren RB
PIT vs IND ·
17.5 Rec Yds
O -113U -111
- Season avg
- 35.8
- Graph avg
- 23.2
- Graph median
- 26.50–49
- Over the close
- 60%6/10
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 17.5
- Home 39% 7/18 · avg 20.3
- Away 68% 13/19 · avg 23.4
- vs IND 0% 0/1 · avg -2.0
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 7.5 80% 8/10
- O 12.5 70% 7/10
- O 17.5 Today 70% 7/10
- O 22.5 50% 5/10
- O 27.5 50% 5/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · RBs vs IND
What IND allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rush Yds97.0#16
- Yds/Carry4.2#20
- Rush TD0.7#16
- Targets4.8#24
- Rec Yds24.9#26
RBs vs IND · 2026
Each main RB who faced IND this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 |
Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 35 | 1.7 | +2000% |
| Sep 27 |
David Montgomery | 15 | 17.3 | -13% |
| Sep 20 |
Emmett Johnson | 20 | 18.0 | +11% |
| Sep 13 |
Justice Hill | 10 | 11.3 | -12% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
PIT offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%8.8 yds | 4%14.4 yds | 9%7.4 yds |
| Short | 28%5.0 yds | 18%7.8 yds | 34%5.0 yds |
Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
IND defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%12.5 yds#10 | 3%12.3 yds#24 | 10%11.7 yds#13 |
| Short | 27%6.2 yds#10 | 20%9.0 yds#4 | 33%6.0 yds#7 |
Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Short | 32%3.2 yds | 16%13.0 yds | 53%7.2 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · PIT 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of PIT targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DK Metcalf WR | 4 | 8.2 | 33 | 22.6% |
| 2 | Roman Wilson WR | 4 | 6.0 | 24 | 16.8% |
| 3 | Jaylen Warren RB | 4 | 5.0 | 20 | 13.8% |
| 4 | Pat Freiermuth TE | 4 | 4.8 | 19 | 13.2% |
| 5 | Michael Pittman WR | 3 | 4.0 | 12 | 11.5% |
| 6 | Germie Bernard WR | 3 | 3.7 | 11 | 10.0% |
| 7 | Rico Dowdle RB | 2 | 3.5 | 7 | 9.5% |
| 8 | Darnell Washington TE | 4 | 3.2 | 13 | 9.1% |
| 9 | Ben Skowronek WR | 3 | 1.3 | 4 | 3.7% |
| 10 | Robert Tonyan TE | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 3.2% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Rec Yds | vs 17.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 4 | @ CLE | 33 | Over | 25.5 | 70 (97%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | @ NE | 34 | Over | 18.5 | 50 (71%) |
| 2025-12-28 | 17 | @ CLE | 0 | Under | 11.5 | 21 (32%) |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ DET | 8 | Under | 10.5 | 36 (49%) |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | @ BAL | 49 | Over | 4.5 | 26 (50%) |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | @ CHI | 0 | Under | 0.5 | 36 (50%) |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | @ LAC | 21 | Over | 16.5 | 24 (46%) |
| 2025-10-16 | 7 | @ CIN | 31 | Over | 35.5 | 37 (65%) |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | @ NE | 34 | Over | 22.5 | 43 (80%) |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | @ NYJ | 22 | Over | 17.5 | 25 (45%) |
Pick’em lines: Underdog 14.5PrizePicks 17.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.