NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Joe Burrow QB

CIN vs MIA ·

32.5 Pass Att O -125U -102
Hit rate · Last 10 70%7/10 Odds imply 52.4% Over
Season avg
39.2
Graph avg
38.0
Graph median
36.531–54
Over the close
60%6/10
2026 per game
Pass Yds292.8â–²+66.6
Att39.2â–²+6.9
Cmp%71.3%â–²+4.5
Pass TD1.8â–¼-0.4
INT0.8â–²+0.1
Rush Yds9.5â–²+4.4
Snaps64.2â–²+4.5
Snap %100.0%â–²+12.2
Joe Burrow pass attempts by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 32.5.
  1. 2025
    46
  2. 36
  3. 39
  4. 32
  5. 31
  6. 39
  7. 2026
    35
  8. 31
  9. 37
  10. 54
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 32.5

  • Home 71% 10/14 · avg 36.4
  • Away 60% 9/15 · avg 37.2
  • vs MIA 0% 0/1 · avg 32.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 30.5 100% 10/10
  • O 31.5 80% 8/10
  • O 32.5 Today 70% 7/10
  • O 33.5 70% 7/10
  • O 34.5 70% 7/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs MIA

What MIA allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds244.5#9
  • Yds/Att7.9#5
  • Cmp%73.3%#1
  • Pass TD1.8#6
  • Pass Att31.1#21

QBs vs MIA · 2026

Each main QB who faced MIA this season: pass att in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.7
Avg diff %+10%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Kyler Murray3717.0+118%
Sep 27 Patrick Mahomes2434.7-31%
Sep 20 Brock Purdy2230.3-27%
Sep 13 Kirk Cousins3038.0-21%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CIN offense

CIN offense: Share of CIN pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%13.4 yds3%14.9 yds7%11.7 yds
Short32%5.5 yds20%8.2 yds34%6.2 yds

Share of CIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

MIA defense

MIA defense: Throws MIA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%12.1 yds#114%14.5 yds#198%11.2 yds#14
Short29%6.5 yds#615%8.6 yds#537%6.3 yds#6

Throws MIA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%13.4 yds3%14.9 yds7%11.7 yds
Short32%5.5 yds20%8.4 yds34%6.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · CIN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of CIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Tee Higgins WR49.83924.8%
2Ja'Marr Chase WR47.02819.7%
3Chase Brown RB46.02415.0%
4Mitchell Tinsley WR17.0713.2%
5Mike Gesicki TE35.01512.7%
6Erick All TE13.039.7%
7Dohnte Meyers WR44.0169.2%
8Drew Sample TE22.557.1%
9Andrei Iosivas WR22.046.0%
10Samaje Perine RB42.085.5%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppPass Attvs 32.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs JAX54Over35.576 (100%)
2026-09-273@ PIT37Over35.557 (100%)
2026-09-202@ HOU31Under35.560 (100%)
2026-09-131vs TB35Over34.564 (100%)
2026-01-0418vs CLE39Over33.567 (99%)
2025-12-2817vs ARI31Under35.564 (83%)
2025-12-2116@ MIA32Under36.555 (90%)
2025-12-1415vs BAL39Over37.576 (100%)
2025-12-0714@ BUF36Over29.560 (100%)
2025-11-2713@ BAL46Over49.583 (100%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 32.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 9m ago.