NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 173 players

Bo Nix QB

DEN vs LAC ·

220.5 Pass Yds O -112U -112
Hit rate · Last 10 · vs LAC 25%1/4 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
204.8
Graph avg
193.2
Graph median
184.5141–263
Over the close
0%0/2
2026 per game
Pass Yds204.8â–¼-29.1
Att33.8â–¼-2.8
Cmp%60.0%â–¼-2.9
Pass TD1.2â–¼-0.3
INT0.8â–²+0.1
Rush Yds6.2â–¼-15.1
Snaps61.2â–¼-5.9
Snap %99.5%â–¼-0.2
Under 220.5 in 2 straight
Bo Nix passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 220.5.
  1. 2024
    216
  2. 263
  3. 2025
    153
  4. 141
  5. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 220.5

  • Home 65% 13/20 · avg 251.2
  • Away 25% 5/20 · avg 196.2
  • vs LAC 25% 1/4 · avg 193.2

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 200.5 50% 2/4
  • O 210.5 50% 2/4
  • O 220.5 Today 25% 1/4
  • O 230.5 25% 1/4
  • O 240.5 25% 1/4

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs LAC

What LAC allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds226.1#18
  • Yds/Att7.6#9
  • Cmp%61.9%#20
  • Pass TD1.1#26
  • Pass Att29.9#28

QBs vs LAC · 2026

Each main QB who faced LAC this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-2.6
Avg diff %+3%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Sam Darnold168196.0-14%
Sep 27 Josh Allen204278.3-27%
Sep 20 Kirk Cousins253257.7-2%
Sep 13 Jacoby Brissett277180.3+54%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

DEN offense

DEN offense: Share of DEN pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%13.7 yds2%8.2 yds6%9.9 yds
Short34%5.7 yds11%4.5 yds38%4.8 yds

Share of DEN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LAC defense

LAC defense: Throws LAC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep10%13.3 yds#73%9.6 yds#305%12.7 yds#8
Short33%6.0 yds#1216%7.3 yds#1332%6.4 yds#5

Throws LAC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep10%12.9 yds1%9.8 yds5%8.6 yds
Short37%5.8 yds12%4.7 yds36%5.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · DEN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of DEN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1RJ Harvey RB37.02121.2%
2Jaylen Waddle WR46.52621.0%
3Courtland Sutton WR45.52217.7%
4Evan Engram TE43.21310.4%
5Pat Bryant WR43.01210.0%
6Adam Trautman TE22.046.9%
7Tyler Badie RB32.066.3%
8Nate Adkins TE31.755.6%
9Jonah Coleman RB21.535.2%
10Troy Franklin WR31.344.6%

Game log · 4 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 220.5CloseSnaps
2026-01-0418vs LAC141Under220.559 (100%)
2025-09-213@ LAC153Under193.552 (100%)
2024-12-1916@ LAC263Over—64 (100%)
2024-10-136vs LAC216Under—55 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 223.5Underdog 224.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.