Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players
Drake Maye QB
NE vs LV ·
224.5 Pass Yds
O -125U -105
- Season avg
- 213.5
- Graph avg
- 212.9
- Graph median
- 203.586–295
- Over the close
- 30%3/10
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 224.5
- Home 58% 11/19 · avg 213.7
- Away 53% 10/19 · avg 225.8
- vs LV 100% 1/1 · avg 287.0
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 204.5 50% 5/10
- O 214.5 40% 4/10
- O 224.5 Today 40% 4/10
- O 234.5 40% 4/10
- O 244.5 40% 4/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · QBs vs LV
What LV allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Pass Yds201.2#28
- Yds/Att6.7#20
- Cmp%66.6%#5
- Pass TD1.3#22
- Pass Att29.9#29
QBs vs LV · 2026
Each main QB who faced LV this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 |
Patrick Mahomes | 225 | 270.7 | -17% |
| Sep 27 |
Tyler Shough | 255 | 316.0 | -19% |
| Sep 20 |
Justin Herbert | 192 | 208.0 | -8% |
| Sep 13 |
Malik Willis | 220 | 164.0 | +34% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
NE offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 12%10.4 yds | 4%10.0 yds | 11%11.9 yds |
| Short | 30%6.1 yds | 16%7.9 yds | 28%6.1 yds |
Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
LV defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 9%15.4 yds#3 | 4%11.7 yds#27 | 6%5.0 yds#31 |
| Short | 34%5.7 yds#18 | 15%6.2 yds#22 | 32%5.2 yds#22 |
Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His throws
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 12%11.0 yds | 4%9.0 yds | 11%12.7 yds |
| Short | 30%5.9 yds | 16%7.9 yds | 28%6.0 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/att
Target share · NE 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of NE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romeo Doubs WR | 4 | 5.0 | 20 | 16.8% |
| 2 | Mack Hollins WR | 4 | 5.0 | 20 | 16.7% |
| 3 | DeMario Douglas WR | 4 | 4.2 | 17 | 14.3% |
| 4 | Hunter Henry TE | 4 | 3.8 | 15 | 13.5% |
| 5 | Rhamondre Stevenson RB | 4 | 4.0 | 16 | 13.2% |
| 6 | A.J. Brown WR | 1 | 4.0 | 4 | 12.9% |
| 7 | Reggie Gilliam RB | 1 | 2.0 | 2 | 9.5% |
| 8 | Efton Chism III WR | 3 | 2.3 | 7 | 7.5% |
| 9 | Lan Larison RB | 1 | 2.0 | 2 | 6.5% |
| 10 | Kyle Williams WR | 4 | 1.8 | 7 | 6.3% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Pass Yds | vs 224.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | @ BUF | 269 | Over | 231.5 | 76 (100%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ JAX | 199 | Under | 222.5 | 51 (81%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | vs PIT | 208 | Under | 224.5 | 55 (100%) |
| 2026-09-09 | 1 | @ SEA | 178 | Under | 232.5 | 71 (100%) |
| 2026-02-08 | 22 (P) | vs SEA | 295 | Over | 224.5 | 71 (100%) |
| 2026-01-25 | 21 (P) | @ DEN | 86 | Under | 223.5 | 64 (100%) |
| 2026-01-18 | 20 (P) | vs HOU | 179 | Under | 220.5 | 65 (100%) |
| 2026-01-11 | 19 (P) | vs LAC | 268 | Over | 268.5 | 64 (100%) |
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs MIA | 191 | Under | 187.5 | 45 (76%) |
| 2025-12-28 | 17 | @ NYJ | 256 | Over | 257.5 | 52 (79%) |
Pick’em lines: Underdog 226.5PrizePicks 227.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 14m ago.