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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 170 players

Tyler Shough QB

NO vs MIN ·

235.5 Pass Yds O -111U -113
Hit rate · Last 10 90%9/10 Odds imply 49.8% Over
Season avg
300.8
Graph avg
275.8
Graph median
265.5144–410
Over the close
70%7/10
2026 per game
Pass Yds300.8â–²+84.0
Att45.0â–²+15.3
Cmp%67.2%â–¼-0.4
Pass TD2.2â–²+1.3
INT0.8â–²+0.2
Rush Yds18.0â–²+1.1
Snaps76.5â–²+21.5
Snap %100.0%â–²+16.5
Tyler Shough passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 235.5.
  1. 2025
    239
  2. 144
  3. 272
  4. 308
  5. 333
  6. 259
  7. 2026
    410
  8. 252
  9. 255
  10. 286
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 235.5

  • Home 83% 5/6 · avg 248.7
  • Away 67% 6/9 · avg 232.8
  • vs MIN No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 215.5 90% 9/10
  • O 225.5 90% 9/10
  • O 235.5 Today 90% 9/10
  • O 245.5 80% 8/10
  • O 255.5 60% 6/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs MIN

What MIN allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds167.5#32
  • Yds/Att6.2#30
  • Cmp%53.7%#32
  • Pass TD0.4#32
  • Pass Att27.2#32

QBs vs MIN · 2026

Each main QB who faced MIN this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+21.0
Avg diff %+9%
Beat their average67% (2/3)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Malik Willis85209.0-59%
Sep 27 Baker Mayfield217199.0+9%
Sep 13 Jordan Love387218.0+78%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NO offense

NO offense: Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%7.6 yds3%18.2 yds8%13.3 yds
Short30%5.7 yds14%9.0 yds36%5.9 yds

Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

MIN defense

MIN defense: Throws MIN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep5%10.5 yds#136%16.7 yds#127%10.3 yds#19
Short34%4.8 yds#3117%5.4 yds#2832%4.7 yds#27

Throws MIN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%7.6 yds3%16.2 yds8%13.3 yds
Short30%5.7 yds15%9.0 yds36%5.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · NO 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NO targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Chris Olave WR412.04828.6%
2Devaughn Vele WR47.83118.3%
3Juwan Johnson TE46.82715.7%
4Alvin Kamara RB34.71412.0%
5Travis Etienne RB34.3139.5%
6Noah Fant TE34.0128.5%
7Bryce Lance WR43.2137.2%
8Kendre Miller RB32.064.6%
9Kevin Austin Jr. WR11.013.1%
10CJ Donaldson RB41.042.0%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 235.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-054vs ATL286Over259.574 (100%)
2026-09-273vs LV255Over252.574 (100%)
2026-09-202@ BAL252Over231.568 (100%)
2026-09-131@ DET410Over240.590 (100%)
2026-01-0418@ ATL259Over264.568 (100%)
2025-12-2817@ TEN333Over320.553 (98%)
2025-12-2116vs NYJ308Over308.576 (97%)
2025-12-1415vs CAR272Over185.568 (99%)
2025-12-0714@ TB144Under215.558 (100%)
2025-11-3013@ MIA239Over202.571 (99%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 237.5Underdog 237.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 5m ago.