NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Sam Darnold QB

SEA vs SF ·

227.5 Pass Yds O -125U -105
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 70%7/10 Odds imply 52.0% Over
Season avg
186.7
Graph avg
256.5
Graph median
246.5147–379
Over the close
89%8/9
2026 per game
Pass Yds186.7â–¼-49.3
Att23.0â–¼-5.4
Cmp%65.2%â–¼-1.5
Pass TD2.0â–²+0.5
INT1.0â–²+0.3
Rush Yds3.7â–¼-1.8
Snaps44.0â–¼-16.6
Snap %70.0%â–¼-26.2
Sam Darnold passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 227.5.
  1. 2025
    242
  2. 295
  3. 330
  4. 279
  5. 244
  6. 249
  7. 147
  8. 198
  9. 202
  10. 2026
    379
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 227.5

  • Home 52% 11/21 · avg 228.0
  • Away 75% 15/20 · avg 252.8
  • vs SF 25% 1/4 · avg 185.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 207.5 70% 7/10
  • O 217.5 70% 7/10
  • O 227.5 Today 70% 7/10
  • O 237.5 70% 7/10
  • O 247.5 50% 5/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs SF

What SF allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds212.6#21
  • Yds/Att6.4#22
  • Cmp%64.2%#14
  • Pass TD1.2#23
  • Pass Att33.0#12

QBs vs SF · 2026

Each main QB who faced SF this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-12.8
Avg diff %+6%
Beat their average75% (3/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Bo Nix214201.7+6%
Sep 27 Jacoby Brissett280179.3+56%
Sep 20 Malik Willis197171.7+15%
Sep 10 Matthew Stafford155344.7-55%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

SEA offense

SEA offense: Share of SEA pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%5.0 yds3%11.7 yds8%15.9 yds
Short32%6.9 yds19%7.4 yds32%6.7 yds

Share of SEA pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

SF defense

SF defense: Throws SF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%5.4 yds#293%15.8 yds#1610%11.0 yds#15
Short34%7.0 yds#512%4.4 yds#3235%4.8 yds#26

Throws SF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%7.0 yds3%12.0 yds9%14.2 yds
Short35%6.4 yds19%7.7 yds31%6.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · SEA 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of SEA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR410.54237.3%
2Rashid Shaheed WR43.81514.3%
3AJ Barner TE43.81511.8%
4Cooper Kupp WR43.01210.3%
5Jadarian Price RB32.377.6%
6George Holani RB42.086.0%
7Emanuel Wilson RB41.256.0%
8Tory Horton WR22.045.8%
9Elijah Arroyo TE11.013.8%
10Brady Russell RB31.033.5%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 227.5CloseSnaps
2026-09-273@ WAS379Over219.567 (100%)
2026-02-0822 (P)@ NE202Under231.572 (100%)
2026-01-0318@ SF198Under180.569 (100%)
2025-12-2817@ CAR147Under140.566 (100%)
2025-12-0714@ ATL249Over235.553 (87%)
2025-11-2312@ TEN244Over234.548 (100%)
2025-11-1611@ LA279Over250.584 (100%)
2025-11-029@ WAS330Over—48 (94%)
2025-10-126@ JAX295Over234.555 (100%)
2025-09-254@ ARI242Over190.566 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 230.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 14m ago.