Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players
Justin Herbert QB
LAC vs DEN ·
1.5 Pass TDs
O +176U -227
- Season avg
- 1.0
- Graph avg
- 1.3
- Graph median
- 1.01–2
- Over the close
- 100%1/1
-
2024
-
-
2025
-
Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 1.5
- Home 42% 8/19 · avg 1.5
- Away 40% 8/20 · avg 1.2
- vs DEN 33% 1/3 · avg 1.3
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 0.5 100% 3/3
- O 1.5 Today 33% 1/3
- O 2.5 0% 0/3
- O 3.5 0% 0/3
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · QBs vs DEN
What DEN allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Pass Yds210.7#24
- Yds/Att6.1#31
- Cmp%57.1%#31
- Pass TD1.4#18
- Pass Att34.3#6
QBs vs DEN · 2026
Each main QB who faced DEN this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 |
Brock Purdy | 2 | 3.0 | -33% |
| Sep 27 |
Matthew Stafford | 2 | 1.3 | +50% |
| Sep 20 |
Trevor Lawrence | 0 | 2.7 | -100% |
| Sep 14 |
Patrick Mahomes | 2 | 2.3 | -14% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
LAC offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 10%12.9 yds | 2%13.6 yds | 9%6.5 yds |
| Short | 29%6.6 yds | 14%5.4 yds | 37%4.8 yds |
Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
DEN defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 10%4.4 yds#31 | 4%8.4 yds#32 | 8%7.7 yds#28 |
| Short | 29%7.6 yds#2 | 13%6.6 yds#18 | 36%5.1 yds#23 |
Throws DEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His throws
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 10%14.3 yds | 2%13.6 yds | 9%7.0 yds |
| Short | 28%7.3 yds | 15%5.3 yds | 36%5.2 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/att
Target share · LAC 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of LAC targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Harris WR | 4 | 5.2 | 21 | 17.8% |
| 2 | Quentin Johnston WR | 4 | 4.8 | 19 | 16.5% |
| 3 | David Njoku TE | 2 | 4.0 | 8 | 15.0% |
| 4 | Ladd McConkey WR | 4 | 4.2 | 17 | 14.8% |
| 5 | Oronde Gadsden II TE | 4 | 3.8 | 15 | 12.5% |
| 6 | Brenen Thompson WR | 1 | 3.0 | 3 | 11.5% |
| 7 | Keaton Mitchell RB | 4 | 2.5 | 10 | 8.1% |
| 8 | Kimani Vidal RB | 3 | 2.0 | 6 | 6.3% |
| 9 | Charlie Kolar TE | 2 | 1.5 | 3 | 5.8% |
| 10 | Omarion Hampton RB | 4 | 1.2 | 5 | 4.3% |
Game log · 3 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Pass TDs | vs 1.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs DEN | 1 | Under | 0.5 | 86 (100%) |
| 2024-12-19 | 16 | vs DEN | 2 | Over | — | 65 (100%) |
| 2024-10-13 | 6 | @ DEN | 1 | Under | — | 78 (100%) |
Pick’em lines: Underdog 0.5PrizePicks 1
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 6m ago.